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ガスは4月末までに__に到達しますか?

Market icon

ガスは4月末までに__に到達しますか?

4月 30

4月 30

$305,901 Vol.

2026/04/30
Polymarket

$305,901 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ 5.00ドル

$60,705 Vol.

1%

↑ $4.75

$38,582 Vol.

2%

↑ $4.50

$12,833 Vol.

8%

↑ $4.25

$20,662 Vol.

22%

↓ $3.95

$6,615 Vol.

36%

↓ $3.85

$8,433 Vol.

15%

↓ $3.75

$3,183 Vol.

5%

↓ $3.50

$1,089 Vol.

7%

↓ 3.25ドル

$1,246 Vol.

3%

↓ $3.00

$2,201 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".US national average regular gasoline prices have surged above $4.15 per gallon as of early April, per AAA data, propelled by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East—including escalated military actions tied to Iran—that have driven crude oil benchmarks like WTI above $100 per barrel. The EIA's latest Weekly Petroleum Status Report for the week ended April 10 highlighted record-low net crude imports and tightening balances, compounding seasonal pressures from spring break travel demand and the refinery switch to pricier summer-blend fuel amid peaking maintenance schedules. Traders eye upcoming EIA reports and potential de-escalation signals or inventory shifts through April 30 resolution, when AAA daily averages determine outcomes for thresholds like $4.00 or $4.10.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
音量
$305,901
終了日
2026/04/30
マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".US national average regular gasoline prices have surged above $4.15 per gallon as of early April, per AAA data, propelled by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East—including escalated military actions tied to Iran—that have driven crude oil benchmarks like WTI above $100 per barrel. The EIA's latest Weekly Petroleum Status Report for the week ended April 10 highlighted record-low net crude imports and tightening balances, compounding seasonal pressures from spring break travel demand and the refinery switch to pricier summer-blend fuel amid peaking maintenance schedules. Traders eye upcoming EIA reports and potential de-escalation signals or inventory shifts through April 30 resolution, when AAA daily averages determine outcomes for thresholds like $4.00 or $4.10.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
音量
$305,901
終了日
2026/04/30
マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ガスは4月末までに__に到達しますか?」はPolymarket上の12個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「↑ $4.15」で100%、次いで「↑ $4.05」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ガスは4月末までに__に到達しますか?」は$305.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Mar 31, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ガスは4月末までに__に到達しますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている12個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ガスは4月末までに__に到達しますか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「↑ $4.15」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「↑ $4.05」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ガスは4月末までに__に到達しますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。