Polymarket traders' strong consensus assigns an 86% implied probability to a Bank of Russia key rate decrease in June, reflecting sustained disinflation and the central bank's ongoing easing cycle. The Board cut the key rate by 50 basis points to 15% on March 20 amid decelerating price growth—annual inflation steady at 5.9% as of mid-March, with underlying measures at 4-5% annualized—approaching its 4.5-5.5% 2026 forecast. Cooling domestic demand, easing labor market tightness, and moderate GDP expansion bolster this positioning, outweighing geopolitical risks. The April 24 meeting will gauge cut sustainability, with economists eyeing 12.25% by year-end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Decrease 86%
No Change 8%
Increase 6.5%
신규
신규
2026.06.19
Decrease
86%
No Change
8%
Increase
7%
Decrease 86%
No Change 8%
Increase 6.5%
신규
신규
2026.06.19
Decrease
$1,336 거래량
86%
No Change
$346 거래량
8%
Increase
$7,805 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders' strong consensus assigns an 86% implied probability to a Bank of Russia key rate decrease in June, reflecting sustained disinflation and the central bank's ongoing easing cycle. The Board cut the key rate by 50 basis points to 15% on March 20 amid decelerating price growth—annual inflation steady at 5.9% as of mid-March, with underlying measures at 4-5% annualized—approaching its 4.5-5.5% 2026 forecast. Cooling domestic demand, easing labor market tightness, and moderate GDP expansion bolster this positioning, outweighing geopolitical risks. The April 24 meeting will gauge cut sustainability, with economists eyeing 12.25% by year-end.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
마켓 개설일: Mar 19, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
거래량
$9,487종료일
2026.06.19마켓 개설일
Mar 19, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders' strong consensus assigns an 86% implied probability to a Bank of Russia key rate decrease in June, reflecting sustained disinflation and the central bank's ongoing easing cycle. The Board cut the key rate by 50 basis points to 15% on March 20 amid decelerating price growth—annual inflation steady at 5.9% as of mid-March, with underlying measures at 4-5% annualized—approaching its 4.5-5.5% 2026 forecast. Cooling domestic demand, easing labor market tightness, and moderate GDP expansion bolster this positioning, outweighing geopolitical risks. The April 24 meeting will gauge cut sustainability, with economists eyeing 12.25% by year-end.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
거래량
$9,487종료일
2026.06.19마켓 개설일
Mar 19, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders' strong consensus assigns an 86% implied probability to a Bank of Russia key rate decrease in June, reflecting sustained disinflation and the central bank's ongoing easing cycle. The Board cut the key rate by 50 basis points to 15% on March 20 amid decelerating price growth—annual inflation steady at 5.9% as of mid-March, with underlying measures at 4-5% annualized—approaching its 4.5-5.5% 2026 forecast. Cooling domestic demand, easing labor market tightness, and moderate GDP expansion bolster this positioning, outweighing geopolitical risks. The April 24 meeting will gauge cut sustainability, with economists eyeing 12.25% by year-end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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