US-mediated talks between Israel and Syria for a security agreement—building on the 1974 disengagement accord to ensure border stability, non-interference, and Israeli withdrawal from post-Assad areas—remain ongoing but stalled as of April 13, following a change in Israel's negotiating team and recent airstrikes on Syrian military sites. Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa stated on April 1 that direct and indirect negotiations reached promising points before Israel backed out at the last minute, amid Damascus' accusations of sovereignty violations. Initial progress in January established a joint communication mechanism for de-escalation, driven by US pressure and mutual interest in countering Hezbollah and Iranian influence. Traders watch for breakthroughs amid fragile Syrian stabilization, with UN Security Council briefings on Syria this month potentially influencing diplomacy.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$767,244 거래량
6월 30일
9%
$767,244 거래량
6월 30일
9%
This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.
Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.
마켓 개설일: Jan 5, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.
Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US-mediated talks between Israel and Syria for a security agreement—building on the 1974 disengagement accord to ensure border stability, non-interference, and Israeli withdrawal from post-Assad areas—remain ongoing but stalled as of April 13, following a change in Israel's negotiating team and recent airstrikes on Syrian military sites. Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa stated on April 1 that direct and indirect negotiations reached promising points before Israel backed out at the last minute, amid Damascus' accusations of sovereignty violations. Initial progress in January established a joint communication mechanism for de-escalation, driven by US pressure and mutual interest in countering Hezbollah and Iranian influence. Traders watch for breakthroughs amid fragile Syrian stabilization, with UN Security Council briefings on Syria this month potentially influencing diplomacy.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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