Trader consensus prices a Democratic victory at 87% in the Oregon governor race, reflecting incumbent Tina Kotek's consistent leads in the sole available February FM3 Research poll—45% vs. Christine Drazan (40%), 43% vs. Ed Diehl (37%), and 45% vs. Chris Dudley (35%)—amid Oregon's solid Democratic lean and her strong endorsements from U.S. senators Jeff Merkley and Ron Wyden, congressional Democrats, and unions like SEIU Local 503. A crowded Republican primary field, highlighted by the first debate among top contenders Drazan, Diehl, and Dudley on April 14, risks further fragmentation ahead of the May 19 primaries and ballot mailing on April 29, bolstering Kotek's path despite her 2022 narrow win and limited intra-party challengers.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$11,913 거래량
$11,913 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
87%
공화당
13%
$11,913 거래량
$11,913 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$6,142 거래량
87%
공화당
$5,770 거래량
13%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices a Democratic victory at 87% in the Oregon governor race, reflecting incumbent Tina Kotek's consistent leads in the sole available February FM3 Research poll—45% vs. Christine Drazan (40%), 43% vs. Ed Diehl (37%), and 45% vs. Chris Dudley (35%)—amid Oregon's solid Democratic lean and her strong endorsements from U.S. senators Jeff Merkley and Ron Wyden, congressional Democrats, and unions like SEIU Local 503. A crowded Republican primary field, highlighted by the first debate among top contenders Drazan, Diehl, and Dudley on April 14, risks further fragmentation ahead of the May 19 primaries and ballot mailing on April 29, bolstering Kotek's path despite her 2022 narrow win and limited intra-party challengers.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
거래량
$11,913종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices a Democratic victory at 87% in the Oregon governor race, reflecting incumbent Tina Kotek's consistent leads in the sole available February FM3 Research poll—45% vs. Christine Drazan (40%), 43% vs. Ed Diehl (37%), and 45% vs. Chris Dudley (35%)—amid Oregon's solid Democratic lean and her strong endorsements from U.S. senators Jeff Merkley and Ron Wyden, congressional Democrats, and unions like SEIU Local 503. A crowded Republican primary field, highlighted by the first debate among top contenders Drazan, Diehl, and Dudley on April 14, risks further fragmentation ahead of the May 19 primaries and ballot mailing on April 29, bolstering Kotek's path despite her 2022 narrow win and limited intra-party challengers.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$11,913종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a Democratic victory at 87% in the Oregon governor race, reflecting incumbent Tina Kotek's consistent leads in the sole available February FM3 Research poll—45% vs. Christine Drazan (40%), 43% vs. Ed Diehl (37%), and 45% vs. Chris Dudley (35%)—amid Oregon's solid Democratic lean and her strong endorsements from U.S. senators Jeff Merkley and Ron Wyden, congressional Democrats, and unions like SEIU Local 503. A crowded Republican primary field, highlighted by the first debate among top contenders Drazan, Diehl, and Dudley on April 14, risks further fragmentation ahead of the May 19 primaries and ballot mailing on April 29, bolstering Kotek's path despite her 2022 narrow win and limited intra-party challengers.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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