Trader consensus on Polymarket favors under 2 inches of total April precipitation in New York City at 58.8% implied probability, driven by National Weather Service data showing just 0.35 inches accumulated at Central Park through April 14—less than 10% of the 4.09-inch monthly normal. Persistent high-pressure ridging over the Northeast has suppressed frontal passages and shower activity since early April, with daily totals mostly trace or zero after minor events on April 1-5. Neutral ENSO conditions and NOAA seasonal outlooks point to below-average rainfall potential for the remainder of the month, though model ensembles indicate slight uncertainty from possible late-April cold fronts. Watch NWS 7-day forecasts for shifts in precipitation guidance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Precipitation in NYC in April?
Precipitation in NYC in April?
<2" 59.3%
2-3" 21%
4-5" 5.8%
>6" 5.8%
$46,482 거래량
$46,482 거래량
2026.04.30
<2"
59%
2-3"
21%
3-4"
3%
4-5"
6%
5-6"
2%
>6"
6%
<2" 59.3%
2-3" 21%
4-5" 5.8%
>6" 5.8%
$46,482 거래량
$46,482 거래량
2026.04.30
<2"
$10,003 거래량
59%
2-3"
$12,172 거래량
21%
3-4"
$9,357 거래량
3%
4-5"
$12,853 거래량
6%
5-6"
$1,052 거래량
2%
>6"
$1,046 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors under 2 inches of total April precipitation in New York City at 58.8% implied probability, driven by National Weather Service data showing just 0.35 inches accumulated at Central Park through April 14—less than 10% of the 4.09-inch monthly normal. Persistent high-pressure ridging over the Northeast has suppressed frontal passages and shower activity since early April, with daily totals mostly trace or zero after minor events on April 1-5. Neutral ENSO conditions and NOAA seasonal outlooks point to below-average rainfall potential for the remainder of the month, though model ensembles indicate slight uncertainty from possible late-April cold fronts. Watch NWS 7-day forecasts for shifts in precipitation guidance.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Mar 24, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
거래량
$46,482종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors under 2 inches of total April precipitation in New York City at 58.8% implied probability, driven by National Weather Service data showing just 0.35 inches accumulated at Central Park through April 14—less than 10% of the 4.09-inch monthly normal. Persistent high-pressure ridging over the Northeast has suppressed frontal passages and shower activity since early April, with daily totals mostly trace or zero after minor events on April 1-5. Neutral ENSO conditions and NOAA seasonal outlooks point to below-average rainfall potential for the remainder of the month, though model ensembles indicate slight uncertainty from possible late-April cold fronts. Watch NWS 7-day forecasts for shifts in precipitation guidance.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$46,482종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors under 2 inches of total April precipitation in New York City at 58.8% implied probability, driven by National Weather Service data showing just 0.35 inches accumulated at Central Park through April 14—less than 10% of the 4.09-inch monthly normal. Persistent high-pressure ridging over the Northeast has suppressed frontal passages and shower activity since early April, with daily totals mostly trace or zero after minor events on April 1-5. Neutral ENSO conditions and NOAA seasonal outlooks point to below-average rainfall potential for the remainder of the month, though model ensembles indicate slight uncertainty from possible late-April cold fronts. Watch NWS 7-day forecasts for shifts in precipitation guidance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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