Official Met Office observations and Wunderground records from London City Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm a maximum temperature of 17°C on April 15, 2026, with peaks around mid-afternoon under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with forecast model consensus from April 14 projecting mid-teens highs amid a cooling trend following the early April heatwave, where Kew Gardens hit a record 26.6°C on April 8. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects verified hourly data across London stations like Heathrow (17.9°C max nearby), far exceeding typical April variability. Realistic challenges include rare post-processing revisions for sensor anomalies, though quality-controlled data rarely shifts after 24 hours. No further updates expected as the event has passed.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트4월 15일 런던에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
4월 15일 런던에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
17°C 100.0%
9°C 이하 <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$429,295 거래량
$429,295 거래량
9°C 이하
아니오
10°C
아니오
11°C
아니오
12°C
아니오
13°C
아니오
14°C
아니오
15°C
아니오
16°C
아니오
17°C
예
18°C
아니오
19°C 이상
아니오
17°C 100.0%
9°C 이하 <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$429,295 거래량
$429,295 거래량
9°C 이하
아니오
10°C
아니오
11°C
아니오
12°C
아니오
13°C
아니오
14°C
아니오
15°C
아니오
16°C
아니오
17°C
예
18°C
아니오
19°C 이상
아니오
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
Official Met Office observations and Wunderground records from London City Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm a maximum temperature of 17°C on April 15, 2026, with peaks around mid-afternoon under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with forecast model consensus from April 14 projecting mid-teens highs amid a cooling trend following the early April heatwave, where Kew Gardens hit a record 26.6°C on April 8. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects verified hourly data across London stations like Heathrow (17.9°C max nearby), far exceeding typical April variability. Realistic challenges include rare post-processing revisions for sensor anomalies, though quality-controlled data rarely shifts after 24 hours. No further updates expected as the event has passed.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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