Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Ankara Esenboğa International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 15 reached exactly 20°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with mid-April climatological norms for central Turkey, where daily maxima typically range 16–18°C amid variable spring weather patterns influenced by continental high-pressure systems and southerly flows. Pre-event forecasts from ensemble models had converged on 19–21°C peaks under partly sunny conditions with light winds. Realistic challenges are negligible post-measurement, though minor revisions could arise from final quality-controlled data releases, but historical precedents show such adjustments rarely exceed 0.5°C.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트4월 15일 앙카라에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
4월 15일 앙카라에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
20°C 100.0%
13°C 이하 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$166,215 거래량
$166,215 거래량
2026.04.15
13°C 이하
아니오
14°C
아니오
15°C
아니오
16°C
아니오
17°C
아니오
18°C
아니오
19°C
아니오
20°C
예
21°C
아니오
22°C
아니오
23°C 이상
아니오
20°C 100.0%
13°C 이하 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$166,215 거래량
$166,215 거래량
2026.04.15
13°C 이하
$9,992 거래량
아니오
14°C
$3,505 거래량
아니오
15°C
$5,307 거래량
아니오
16°C
$4,470 거래량
아니오
17°C
$8,343 거래량
아니오
18°C
$13,326 거래량
아니오
19°C
$18,376 거래량
아니오
20°C
$16,624 거래량
예
21°C
$60,244 거래량
아니오
22°C
$13,101 거래량
아니오
23°C 이상
$12,926 거래량
아니오
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Ankara Esenboğa International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 15 reached exactly 20°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with mid-April climatological norms for central Turkey, where daily maxima typically range 16–18°C amid variable spring weather patterns influenced by continental high-pressure systems and southerly flows. Pre-event forecasts from ensemble models had converged on 19–21°C peaks under partly sunny conditions with light winds. Realistic challenges are negligible post-measurement, though minor revisions could arise from final quality-controlled data releases, but historical precedents show such adjustments rarely exceed 0.5°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 13, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
거래량
$166,215종료일
2026.04.15마켓 개설일
Apr 13, 2026, 12:14 AM ET결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Ankara Esenboğa International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 15 reached exactly 20°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with mid-April climatological norms for central Turkey, where daily maxima typically range 16–18°C amid variable spring weather patterns influenced by continental high-pressure systems and southerly flows. Pre-event forecasts from ensemble models had converged on 19–21°C peaks under partly sunny conditions with light winds. Realistic challenges are negligible post-measurement, though minor revisions could arise from final quality-controlled data releases, but historical precedents show such adjustments rarely exceed 0.5°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$166,215종료일
2026.04.15마켓 개설일
Apr 13, 2026, 12:14 AM ET결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Ankara Esenboğa International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 15 reached exactly 20°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with mid-April climatological norms for central Turkey, where daily maxima typically range 16–18°C amid variable spring weather patterns influenced by continental high-pressure systems and southerly flows. Pre-event forecasts from ensemble models had converged on 19–21°C peaks under partly sunny conditions with light winds. Realistic challenges are negligible post-measurement, though minor revisions could arise from final quality-controlled data releases, but historical precedents show such adjustments rarely exceed 0.5°C.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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