Traders' near-unanimous 97.8% consensus on "No" reflects the U.S. Embassy in Beirut's continued operations despite Lebanon's Level 4 Do Not Travel advisory and volatile security from Hezbollah-Israel clashes, including airstrikes and April 8 gunfire near the embassy that caused no injuries or evacuations. A partial ordered departure of non-emergency personnel occurred February 23 amid Iran tensions, but core diplomatic staff remain, issuing alerts like the April 3 call for U.S. citizens to leave voluntarily. The April 14 trilateral U.S.-Lebanon-Israel meeting signals diplomatic de-escalation efforts. Realistic shifts could arise from direct Hezbollah threats to the embassy, major southern Lebanon escalation, or Iranian proxy attacks before April 30 resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$14,073 거래량
$14,073 거래량
2026.04.30
$14,073 거래량
$14,073 거래량
2026.04.30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Traders' near-unanimous 97.8% consensus on "No" reflects the U.S. Embassy in Beirut's continued operations despite Lebanon's Level 4 Do Not Travel advisory and volatile security from Hezbollah-Israel clashes, including airstrikes and April 8 gunfire near the embassy that caused no injuries or evacuations. A partial ordered departure of non-emergency personnel occurred February 23 amid Iran tensions, but core diplomatic staff remain, issuing alerts like the April 3 call for U.S. citizens to leave voluntarily. The April 14 trilateral U.S.-Lebanon-Israel meeting signals diplomatic de-escalation efforts. Realistic shifts could arise from direct Hezbollah threats to the embassy, major southern Lebanon escalation, or Iranian proxy attacks before April 30 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
마켓 개설일: Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
거래량
$14,073종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Traders' near-unanimous 97.8% consensus on "No" reflects the U.S. Embassy in Beirut's continued operations despite Lebanon's Level 4 Do Not Travel advisory and volatile security from Hezbollah-Israel clashes, including airstrikes and April 8 gunfire near the embassy that caused no injuries or evacuations. A partial ordered departure of non-emergency personnel occurred February 23 amid Iran tensions, but core diplomatic staff remain, issuing alerts like the April 3 call for U.S. citizens to leave voluntarily. The April 14 trilateral U.S.-Lebanon-Israel meeting signals diplomatic de-escalation efforts. Realistic shifts could arise from direct Hezbollah threats to the embassy, major southern Lebanon escalation, or Iranian proxy attacks before April 30 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
거래량
$14,073종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders' near-unanimous 97.8% consensus on "No" reflects the U.S. Embassy in Beirut's continued operations despite Lebanon's Level 4 Do Not Travel advisory and volatile security from Hezbollah-Israel clashes, including airstrikes and April 8 gunfire near the embassy that caused no injuries or evacuations. A partial ordered departure of non-emergency personnel occurred February 23 amid Iran tensions, but core diplomatic staff remain, issuing alerts like the April 3 call for U.S. citizens to leave voluntarily. The April 14 trilateral U.S.-Lebanon-Israel meeting signals diplomatic de-escalation efforts. Realistic shifts could arise from direct Hezbollah threats to the embassy, major southern Lebanon escalation, or Iranian proxy attacks before April 30 resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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