Trader consensus reflects deep skepticism toward a US acquisition of Iranian enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, driven by stalled nuclear negotiations despite recent diplomatic momentum. President Trump claimed on April 16 that Iran agreed to hand over the material—dubbed "nuclear dust"—following Pakistan-mediated talks in Islamabad, but Tehran issued a sharp rebuttal denying any such concession. Key sticking points persist, including Washington's demand for a 20-year enrichment suspension and direct uranium transfer to the US, versus Iran's offers to ship portions abroad (possibly to Russia) for just five years. IAEA reports highlight unverified underground stockpiles amid access denials, while Defense Secretary Hegseth's warnings of military readiness underscore escalation risks, tempering optimism for timely resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$3,587,839 거래량
$3,587,839 거래량
2026.05.31
예
$3,587,839 거래량
$3,587,839 거래량
2026.05.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects deep skepticism toward a US acquisition of Iranian enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, driven by stalled nuclear negotiations despite recent diplomatic momentum. President Trump claimed on April 16 that Iran agreed to hand over the material—dubbed "nuclear dust"—following Pakistan-mediated talks in Islamabad, but Tehran issued a sharp rebuttal denying any such concession. Key sticking points persist, including Washington's demand for a 20-year enrichment suspension and direct uranium transfer to the US, versus Iran's offers to ship portions abroad (possibly to Russia) for just five years. IAEA reports highlight unverified underground stockpiles amid access denials, while Defense Secretary Hegseth's warnings of military readiness underscore escalation risks, tempering optimism for timely resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 31, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
거래량
$3,587,839종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Mar 31, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects deep skepticism toward a US acquisition of Iranian enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, driven by stalled nuclear negotiations despite recent diplomatic momentum. President Trump claimed on April 16 that Iran agreed to hand over the material—dubbed "nuclear dust"—following Pakistan-mediated talks in Islamabad, but Tehran issued a sharp rebuttal denying any such concession. Key sticking points persist, including Washington's demand for a 20-year enrichment suspension and direct uranium transfer to the US, versus Iran's offers to ship portions abroad (possibly to Russia) for just five years. IAEA reports highlight unverified underground stockpiles amid access denials, while Defense Secretary Hegseth's warnings of military readiness underscore escalation risks, tempering optimism for timely resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$3,587,845종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Mar 31, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects deep skepticism toward a US acquisition of Iranian enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, driven by stalled nuclear negotiations despite recent diplomatic momentum. President Trump claimed on April 16 that Iran agreed to hand over the material—dubbed "nuclear dust"—following Pakistan-mediated talks in Islamabad, but Tehran issued a sharp rebuttal denying any such concession. Key sticking points persist, including Washington's demand for a 20-year enrichment suspension and direct uranium transfer to the US, versus Iran's offers to ship portions abroad (possibly to Russia) for just five years. IAEA reports highlight unverified underground stockpiles amid access denials, while Defense Secretary Hegseth's warnings of military readiness underscore escalation risks, tempering optimism for timely resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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