Trader consensus prices "No" at 93% on President Trump creating a tariff dividend by June 30, reflecting stalled progress on formalizing direct payments from tariff revenue to US citizens despite repeated White House announcements since November 2025. Bills introduced in late March 2026 to enable tariff rebate distributions remain unpassed in Congress, facing hurdles in appropriations committees amid debates over legality—tariff proceeds flow to general Treasury funds requiring legislative approval for payouts. No executive order has materialized, and recent April focus shifted to standard tax refunds up 11%, with experts citing insufficient revenue projections and fiscal debt pressures as key barriers. Only sudden bill passage or unilateral action could alter odds before the deadline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.06.30
신규
신규
2026.06.30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration formally creates (e.g., by signing federal legislation or performing executive action) a tariff dividend/rebate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.
A qualifying payment of any amount distributed to any segment of individual US taxpayers will qualify as long as it is clearly attributed primarily to tariff revenue rather than a routine tax refund or credit.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "No" at 93% on President Trump creating a tariff dividend by June 30, reflecting stalled progress on formalizing direct payments from tariff revenue to US citizens despite repeated White House announcements since November 2025. Bills introduced in late March 2026 to enable tariff rebate distributions remain unpassed in Congress, facing hurdles in appropriations committees amid debates over legality—tariff proceeds flow to general Treasury funds requiring legislative approval for payouts. No executive order has materialized, and recent April focus shifted to standard tax refunds up 11%, with experts citing insufficient revenue projections and fiscal debt pressures as key barriers. Only sudden bill passage or unilateral action could alter odds before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration formally creates (e.g., by signing federal legislation or performing executive action) a tariff dividend/rebate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.
A qualifying payment of any amount distributed to any segment of individual US taxpayers will qualify as long as it is clearly attributed primarily to tariff revenue rather than a routine tax refund or credit.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.
A qualifying payment of any amount distributed to any segment of individual US taxpayers will qualify as long as it is clearly attributed primarily to tariff revenue rather than a routine tax refund or credit.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Dec 17, 2025, 4:07 PM ET
거래량
$9,714종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 17, 2025, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration formally creates (e.g., by signing federal legislation or performing executive action) a tariff dividend/rebate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.
A qualifying payment of any amount distributed to any segment of individual US taxpayers will qualify as long as it is clearly attributed primarily to tariff revenue rather than a routine tax refund or credit.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "No" at 93% on President Trump creating a tariff dividend by June 30, reflecting stalled progress on formalizing direct payments from tariff revenue to US citizens despite repeated White House announcements since November 2025. Bills introduced in late March 2026 to enable tariff rebate distributions remain unpassed in Congress, facing hurdles in appropriations committees amid debates over legality—tariff proceeds flow to general Treasury funds requiring legislative approval for payouts. No executive order has materialized, and recent April focus shifted to standard tax refunds up 11%, with experts citing insufficient revenue projections and fiscal debt pressures as key barriers. Only sudden bill passage or unilateral action could alter odds before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration formally creates (e.g., by signing federal legislation or performing executive action) a tariff dividend/rebate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.
A qualifying payment of any amount distributed to any segment of individual US taxpayers will qualify as long as it is clearly attributed primarily to tariff revenue rather than a routine tax refund or credit.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.
A qualifying payment of any amount distributed to any segment of individual US taxpayers will qualify as long as it is clearly attributed primarily to tariff revenue rather than a routine tax refund or credit.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$9,714종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 17, 2025, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 93% on President Trump creating a tariff dividend by June 30, reflecting stalled progress on formalizing direct payments from tariff revenue to US citizens despite repeated White House announcements since November 2025. Bills introduced in late March 2026 to enable tariff rebate distributions remain unpassed in Congress, facing hurdles in appropriations committees amid debates over legality—tariff proceeds flow to general Treasury funds requiring legislative approval for payouts. No executive order has materialized, and recent April focus shifted to standard tax refunds up 11%, with experts citing insufficient revenue projections and fiscal debt pressures as key barriers. Only sudden bill passage or unilateral action could alter odds before the deadline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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