Persistent southwest monsoon conditions and associated cloud cover with scattered thunderstorms are capping Manila's daytime maxima near 30–31°C for August 6, according to PAGASA guidance showing a 24–31°C range and 80–90% rain probability. This aligns with trader emphasis on 29–30°C outcomes, as frequent rainfall and high humidity reduce solar heating compared with drier periods. Historical August averages hover around 30–31°C, but active monsoon flow introduces variability in cloud thickness and timing that can shift peaks by 1–2°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will clarify intensification or breaks in the rain, directly influencing resolution around the 28–31°C cluster.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on August 6?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 6?
29°C 29%
30°C 28%
28°C 22%
31°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 6, 2026
25°C or below
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
7%
28°C
22%
29°C
29%
30°C
28%
31°C
14%
32°C
5%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 29%
30°C 28%
28°C 22%
31°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 6, 2026
25°C or below
$124 Wol.
2%
26°C
$21 Wol.
7%
27°C
$131 Wol.
7%
28°C
$4 Wol.
22%
29°C
$52 Wol.
29%
30°C
$106 Wol.
28%
31°C
$65 Wol.
14%
32°C
$22 Wol.
5%
33°C
$0 Wol.
1%
34°C
$0 Wol.
1%
35°C or higher
$21 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon conditions and associated cloud cover with scattered thunderstorms are capping Manila's daytime maxima near 30–31°C for August 6, according to PAGASA guidance showing a 24–31°C range and 80–90% rain probability. This aligns with trader emphasis on 29–30°C outcomes, as frequent rainfall and high humidity reduce solar heating compared with drier periods. Historical August averages hover around 30–31°C, but active monsoon flow introduces variability in cloud thickness and timing that can shift peaks by 1–2°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will clarify intensification or breaks in the rain, directly influencing resolution around the 28–31°C cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$545Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon conditions and associated cloud cover with scattered thunderstorms are capping Manila's daytime maxima near 30–31°C for August 6, according to PAGASA guidance showing a 24–31°C range and 80–90% rain probability. This aligns with trader emphasis on 29–30°C outcomes, as frequent rainfall and high humidity reduce solar heating compared with drier periods. Historical August averages hover around 30–31°C, but active monsoon flow introduces variability in cloud thickness and timing that can shift peaks by 1–2°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will clarify intensification or breaks in the rain, directly influencing resolution around the 28–31°C cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$545Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon conditions and associated cloud cover with scattered thunderstorms are capping Manila's daytime maxima near 30–31°C for August 6, according to PAGASA guidance showing a 24–31°C range and 80–90% rain probability. This aligns with trader emphasis on 29–30°C outcomes, as frequent rainfall and high humidity reduce solar heating compared with drier periods. Historical August averages hover around 30–31°C, but active monsoon flow introduces variability in cloud thickness and timing that can shift peaks by 1–2°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will clarify intensification or breaks in the rain, directly influencing resolution around the 28–31°C cluster.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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