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International Politics predictions & odds

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Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?

Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?

16%

$94 Vol.

$921 Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

56%

United Russia (ER)

$14M Vol.

$1M Liq.

284

Ends in 3 months

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

73%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$4M Vol.

$730K Liq.

47

Ends in 3 months

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

88%

PL

$277K Vol.

$314K Liq.

11

Ends in 3 months

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

63%

Renan Santos

$416K Vol.

$548K Liq.

49

Ends in 3 months

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

96%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$156K Vol.

$549K Liq.

34

Ends in 10 months

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: 2nd Place

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: 2nd Place

91%

CDU

$69.3K Vol.

$227K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

41%

Lula da Silva 5-10%

$269K Vol.

$257K Liq.

14

Ends in 3 months

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

32%

25-29

$40.2K Vol.

$132K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

39%

$135K Vol.

$51.3K Liq.

13

Ends in 2 months

Israeli parliament dissolved by...?

Israeli parliament dissolved by...?

85%

July 31

$2M Vol.

$38.9K Liq.

66

Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?

Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?

48%

PAN

$18.1K Vol.

$49.7K Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Greater Manchester Mayoral Election: Most 1st Preference Votes

Greater Manchester Mayoral Election: Most 1st Preference Votes

65%

Bev Craig

$38.3K Vol.

$213K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Mexico Legislative Election Winner

Mexico Legislative Election Winner

78%

Morena

$68.8K Vol.

$142K Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

36%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)

$12.2K Vol.

$146K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner

São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner

81%

Carlos Vila Nova

$8.8K Vol.

$68.5K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

66%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

$63.9K Vol.

$151K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

94%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$410K Vol.

$169K Liq.

120

Ends in 3 months

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

75%

Jordan Bardella

$26.3K Vol.

$353K Liq.

4

Ends in 10 months

Zambia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout

Zambia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout

35%

50-60%

$23.3K Vol.

$92.6K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like International Politics.

Polymarket currently hosts 54 active markets for International Politics that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $22.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 56% chance to United Russia (ER). These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on International Politics predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.