Latest KNMI forecasts project a maximum temperature of 18°C at Amsterdam's Schiphol Airport station on April 17, anchoring trader consensus with 34% implied odds, closely trailed by 19°C (25.5%) and 17°C (17.5%) due to ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS models showing 3–5°C variability. Alternating light showers and sun—40% sunshine duration, 30% precipitation chance under weak southerly winds (force 2)—introduce uncertainty in mid-afternoon insolation, potentially capping peaks at 17°C with overcast timing or boosting to 19°C via clearing skies. This mild setup exceeds April climatological norms (~12°C highs) from southerly flow but hinges on cloud evolution; overnight model updates and real-time observations will sharpen resolution before tomorrow's close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on April 17?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 17?
18°C 35%
19°C 26%
17°C 16%
20°C 14%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
6%
17°C
16%
18°C
35%
19°C
26%
20°C
14%
21°C
5%
22°C or higher
2%
18°C 35%
19°C 26%
17°C 16%
20°C 14%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
6%
17°C
16%
18°C
35%
19°C
26%
20°C
14%
21°C
5%
22°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest KNMI forecasts project a maximum temperature of 18°C at Amsterdam's Schiphol Airport station on April 17, anchoring trader consensus with 34% implied odds, closely trailed by 19°C (25.5%) and 17°C (17.5%) due to ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS models showing 3–5°C variability. Alternating light showers and sun—40% sunshine duration, 30% precipitation chance under weak southerly winds (force 2)—introduce uncertainty in mid-afternoon insolation, potentially capping peaks at 17°C with overcast timing or boosting to 19°C via clearing skies. This mild setup exceeds April climatological norms (~12°C highs) from southerly flow but hinges on cloud evolution; overnight model updates and real-time observations will sharpen resolution before tomorrow's close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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