Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a high temperature of 26–30°C at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport on April 17, driving trader consensus toward 27–29°C with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 19–22.5%. This reflects partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds fostering warm, humid conditions typical of April's subtropical ridge, but uncertainty arises from variable cloud cover potentially reducing peak insolation by 1–2°C and isolated thundery showers that could suppress afternoon maxima. Historical April averages hover around 27°C, with recent model runs showing slight divergence—CMA leaning cooler at 26°C amid moderate humidity (70–80%), while others project up to 30°C under clearer scenarios. Watch hourly observations from the official station for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on April 17?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 17?
29°C 23%
26°C or below 20%
27°C 20%
28°C 20%
26°C or below
18%
27°C
20%
28°C
20%
29°C
28%
30°C
10%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 23%
26°C or below 20%
27°C 20%
28°C 20%
26°C or below
18%
27°C
20%
28°C
20%
29°C
28%
30°C
10%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a high temperature of 26–30°C at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport on April 17, driving trader consensus toward 27–29°C with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 19–22.5%. This reflects partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds fostering warm, humid conditions typical of April's subtropical ridge, but uncertainty arises from variable cloud cover potentially reducing peak insolation by 1–2°C and isolated thundery showers that could suppress afternoon maxima. Historical April averages hover around 27°C, with recent model runs showing slight divergence—CMA leaning cooler at 26°C amid moderate humidity (70–80%), while others project up to 30°C under clearer scenarios. Watch hourly observations from the official station for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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