Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in NiMet's latest short-term forecasts for Lagos, with peak temperatures implied around 32–34°C tomorrow amid persistent dry-season heat and average April highs of 32°C. Recent observations, including a 35°C high on April 10, have moderated with partly cloudy conditions and sea breezes providing coastal moderation, splitting odds as models like ECMWF and GFS diverge on afternoon cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms that could cap peaks at 32°C or allow 34°C under clearer skies. Urban heat island effects in densely built areas amplify extremes, while humidity near 80% influences heat index. NiMet's evening bulletin may refine guidance before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Lagos on April 17?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 17?
33°C 25%
34°C 24%
32°C 23%
35°C 13%
NOVO
NOVO
17 abr 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
11%
32°C
23%
33°C
25%
34°C
24%
35°C
13%
36°C
12%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 25%
34°C 24%
32°C 23%
35°C 13%
NOVO
NOVO
17 abr 2026
27°C or below
$476 Vol.
1%
28°C
$635 Vol.
1%
29°C
$1,053 Vol.
2%
30°C
$337 Vol.
4%
31°C
$248 Vol.
11%
32°C
$39 Vol.
23%
33°C
$41 Vol.
25%
34°C
$76 Vol.
24%
35°C
$56 Vol.
13%
36°C
$412 Vol.
12%
37°C or higher
$1,390 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in NiMet's latest short-term forecasts for Lagos, with peak temperatures implied around 32–34°C tomorrow amid persistent dry-season heat and average April highs of 32°C. Recent observations, including a 35°C high on April 10, have moderated with partly cloudy conditions and sea breezes providing coastal moderation, splitting odds as models like ECMWF and GFS diverge on afternoon cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms that could cap peaks at 32°C or allow 34°C under clearer skies. Urban heat island effects in densely built areas amplify extremes, while humidity near 80% influences heat index. NiMet's evening bulletin may refine guidance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volume
$4,762Data de Término
17 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in NiMet's latest short-term forecasts for Lagos, with peak temperatures implied around 32–34°C tomorrow amid persistent dry-season heat and average April highs of 32°C. Recent observations, including a 35°C high on April 10, have moderated with partly cloudy conditions and sea breezes providing coastal moderation, splitting odds as models like ECMWF and GFS diverge on afternoon cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms that could cap peaks at 32°C or allow 34°C under clearer skies. Urban heat island effects in densely built areas amplify extremes, while humidity near 80% influences heat index. NiMet's evening bulletin may refine guidance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,762Data de Término
17 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in NiMet's latest short-term forecasts for Lagos, with peak temperatures implied around 32–34°C tomorrow amid persistent dry-season heat and average April highs of 32°C. Recent observations, including a 35°C high on April 10, have moderated with partly cloudy conditions and sea breezes providing coastal moderation, splitting odds as models like ECMWF and GFS diverge on afternoon cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms that could cap peaks at 32°C or allow 34°C under clearer skies. Urban heat island effects in densely built areas amplify extremes, while humidity near 80% influences heat index. NiMet's evening bulletin may refine guidance before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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