Skip to main content
Market icon

Highest temperature in London on April 17?

Market icon

Highest temperature in London on April 17?

18°C 38%

17°C 35%

19°C 15%

16°C 7.6%

Polymarket
NOVO

$14,330 Vol.

18°C 38%

17°C 35%

19°C 15%

16°C 7.6%

Polymarket
NOVO

$14,330 Vol.

12°C or below

$1,344 Vol.

1%

13°C

$1,317 Vol.

1%

14°C

$1,241 Vol.

1%

15°C

$955 Vol.

2%

16°C

$2,253 Vol.

8%

17°C

$1,839 Vol.

35%

18°C

$1,506 Vol.

38%

19°C

$1,223 Vol.

15%

20°C

$1,064 Vol.

5%

21°C

$700 Vol.

2%

22°C or higher

$886 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Met Office forecast, updated late on April 15, projects London's highest temperature on April 17 at 16°C amid sunny spells, building cloud, and scattered showers with up to 50% precipitation odds during peak afternoon hours, driven by southwesterly winds at 9-10 mph fostering mild but unstable conditions. BBC Weather aligns closely with a 18°C high under sunny intervals and gentle breezes, highlighting model discrepancies in cloud cover and shower timing that cap intensification potential. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 17-18°C (73.5% combined implied probability) due to this forecast spread against April climatological norms of 13-15°C highs, with high pressure slowly building to reduce shower risk by weekend; monitor overnight model updates from NOAA and ECMWF ensembles for shifts ahead of resolution via official Heathrow or City Airport observations.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$14,330
Data de Término
17 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Met Office forecast, updated late on April 15, projects London's highest temperature on April 17 at 16°C amid sunny spells, building cloud, and scattered showers with up to 50% precipitation odds during peak afternoon hours, driven by southwesterly winds at 9-10 mph fostering mild but unstable conditions. BBC Weather aligns closely with a 18°C high under sunny intervals and gentle breezes, highlighting model discrepancies in cloud cover and shower timing that cap intensification potential. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 17-18°C (73.5% combined implied probability) due to this forecast spread against April climatological norms of 13-15°C highs, with high pressure slowly building to reduce shower risk by weekend; monitor overnight model updates from NOAA and ECMWF ensembles for shifts ahead of resolution via official Heathrow or City Airport observations.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$14,330
Data de Término
17 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in London on April 17?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "18°C" at 38%, followed by "17°C" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in London on April 17?" has generated $14.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 15, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in London on April 17?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in London on April 17?" is "18°C" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "17°C" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in London on April 17?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.