Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 20 de março?

Name: Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 20 de março?
Start: 2026-03-19T06:36:05.599Z
End: 2026-03-20T12:00:00.000Z

Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 20 de março?

Mar 20

Mar 21

Mar 22

Mar 23

Mar 20

Mar 21

Mar 22

Mar 23

14°C 34%

15°C 28%

16°C 21%

13°C 8.5%

NEW

$32,118 Vol.

NEW

$32,118 Vol.

Mar 20, 2026

12°C ou menos

$4,154 Vol.

13°C

$2,451 Vol.

14°C

$1,446 Vol.

34%

15°C

$1,392 Vol.

28%

16°C

$3,262 Vol.

21%

17°C

$6,300 Vol.

18°C

$2,407 Vol.

19°C

$2,031 Vol.

<1%

20°C

$1,733 Vol.

21°C

$2,238 Vol.

22°C ou mais

$4,704 Vol.

14°C 34%

15°C 28%

16°C 21%

13°C 8.5%

NEW

$32,118 Vol.

NEW

$32,118 Vol.

Mar 20, 2026

12°C ou menos

$4,154 Vol.

13°C

$2,451 Vol.

14°C

$1,446 Vol.

34%

15°C

$1,392 Vol.

28%

16°C

$3,262 Vol.

21%

17°C

$6,300 Vol.

18°C

$2,407 Vol.

19°C

$2,031 Vol.

<1%

20°C

$1,733 Vol.

21°C

$2,238 Vol.

22°C ou mais

$4,704 Vol.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Recent ensemble forecasts from leading models like ECMWF and GFS, corroborated by Spain's AEMET, show Madrid's March 20 high clustering around 14-15°C, driving trader favoritism for 14°C at 37% implied probability amid tight competition with 15°C (27.5%) and 16°C (18.5%). A persistent northerly flow from a weakening Atlantic low-pressure system introduces cooler, drier air, capping daytime solar heating below seasonal norms of 15-17°C, while variable cloud cover adds uncertainty—thicker overcast favors 14°C, partial clearing boosts 15-16°C odds. Historical data confirms March volatility, with past highs varying 5-10°C day-to-day, but current 500hPa geopotential height anomalies signal subdued warmth, tempering upside risks above 16°C. Traders eye tomorrow's 12Z model runs for resolution shifts.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado Mar 20, 2026, 7:46 AM UTC

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 20 de março?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "14°C" at 34%, followed by "15°C" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 20 de março?" has generated $32.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 20 de março?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 20 de março?" is "14°C" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "15°C" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 20 de março?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 20 de março?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $32.1K traded on “Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 20 de março?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 20 de março?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 34¢ for "14°C" in the "Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 20 de março?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 34% chance that "14°C" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 34¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 66¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 20 de março?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Mar 20, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 20 de março?" market has a growing discussion of 4 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 20 de março?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 20 de março?

Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 20 de março?

Regras

Contexto de Mercado

Contexto de Mercado

Comentários (4)

Top Holders

Cargos

Actividade

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 20 de março?" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 20 de março?" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 20 de março?"?

What are the current odds for "Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 20 de março?"?

How will "Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 20 de março?" be resolved?

Can I follow "Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 20 de março?" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 20 de março?" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 20 de março?"?

What does a price of 34¢ for "14°C" mean?

When does the "Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 20 de março?" market close?

What are traders saying about "Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 20 de março?"?

What is Polymarket?