Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 46.5% probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature at Ben Gurion International Airport reaching 35°C or higher on April 17, driven by an ongoing early-season heatwave that saw yesterday's high exceed 35°C amid unseasonably hot conditions. Israel Meteorological Service guidance centers projections around 31–34°C with low humidity and easterly winds limiting sea breeze moderation, while ECMWF and GFS model ensembles show spreads of 30–36°C, factoring in urban heat island effects and high-pressure subsidence. Recent actuals surpassing cooler forecasts have boosted sentiment for the upper end, though variable coastal influences create uncertainty; watch for IMS updates and afternoon model runs today as resolution nears.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 17?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 17?
35°C or higher 48%
34°C 27%
33°C 19%
32°C 6%
NOVO
$16,806 Vol.
NOVO
$16,806 Vol.
17 abr 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
6%
33°C
19%
34°C
27%
35°C or higher
48%
35°C or higher 48%
34°C 27%
33°C 19%
32°C 6%
NOVO
$16,806 Vol.
NOVO
$16,806 Vol.
17 abr 2026
25°C or below
$1,336 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,381 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,543 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,087 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,489 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,576 Vol.
1%
31°C
$1,685 Vol.
1%
32°C
$1,345 Vol.
6%
33°C
$1,312 Vol.
19%
34°C
$1,327 Vol.
27%
35°C or higher
$2,815 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 46.5% probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature at Ben Gurion International Airport reaching 35°C or higher on April 17, driven by an ongoing early-season heatwave that saw yesterday's high exceed 35°C amid unseasonably hot conditions. Israel Meteorological Service guidance centers projections around 31–34°C with low humidity and easterly winds limiting sea breeze moderation, while ECMWF and GFS model ensembles show spreads of 30–36°C, factoring in urban heat island effects and high-pressure subsidence. Recent actuals surpassing cooler forecasts have boosted sentiment for the upper end, though variable coastal influences create uncertainty; watch for IMS updates and afternoon model runs today as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$16,806Data de Término
17 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 46.5% probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature at Ben Gurion International Airport reaching 35°C or higher on April 17, driven by an ongoing early-season heatwave that saw yesterday's high exceed 35°C amid unseasonably hot conditions. Israel Meteorological Service guidance centers projections around 31–34°C with low humidity and easterly winds limiting sea breeze moderation, while ECMWF and GFS model ensembles show spreads of 30–36°C, factoring in urban heat island effects and high-pressure subsidence. Recent actuals surpassing cooler forecasts have boosted sentiment for the upper end, though variable coastal influences create uncertainty; watch for IMS updates and afternoon model runs today as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,806Data de Término
17 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 46.5% probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature at Ben Gurion International Airport reaching 35°C or higher on April 17, driven by an ongoing early-season heatwave that saw yesterday's high exceed 35°C amid unseasonably hot conditions. Israel Meteorological Service guidance centers projections around 31–34°C with low humidity and easterly winds limiting sea breeze moderation, while ECMWF and GFS model ensembles show spreads of 30–36°C, factoring in urban heat island effects and high-pressure subsidence. Recent actuals surpassing cooler forecasts have boosted sentiment for the upper end, though variable coastal influences create uncertainty; watch for IMS updates and afternoon model runs today as resolution nears.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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