Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 18°C (37% implied probability) in Tokyo on April 17, driven by the latest Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) short-range forecast models projecting overcast skies and a daytime maximum near 18°C amid a stable cool air mass over the Kanto region. This follows recent observations of highs around 21°C on April 16 under partly cloudy conditions, with cloud cover expected to suppress solar heating tomorrow and limit peaks to the 17–19°C range (combined ~79%). Spring climatology supports this, as Tokyo's April average high is 19°C, with low variability absent strong fronts; ensemble models show minimal spread, though afternoon clearing could nudge toward 19°C. JMA's next advisory, due late April 16, may refine cloud trends ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 17 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 17 de abril?
18°C 38%
19°C 22%
17°C 19%
20°C 9%
$15,671 Vol.
$15,671 Vol.
12°C ou menos
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
19%
18°C
38%
19°C
22%
20°C
9%
21°C
3%
22°C ou mais
3%
18°C 38%
19°C 22%
17°C 19%
20°C 9%
$15,671 Vol.
$15,671 Vol.
12°C ou menos
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
19%
18°C
38%
19°C
22%
20°C
9%
21°C
3%
22°C ou mais
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 18°C (37% implied probability) in Tokyo on April 17, driven by the latest Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) short-range forecast models projecting overcast skies and a daytime maximum near 18°C amid a stable cool air mass over the Kanto region. This follows recent observations of highs around 21°C on April 16 under partly cloudy conditions, with cloud cover expected to suppress solar heating tomorrow and limit peaks to the 17–19°C range (combined ~79%). Spring climatology supports this, as Tokyo's April average high is 19°C, with low variability absent strong fronts; ensemble models show minimal spread, though afternoon clearing could nudge toward 19°C. JMA's next advisory, due late April 16, may refine cloud trends ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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