Traders' strong 80% consensus on "No" stems from the absence of concrete diplomatic progress toward Abraham Accords expansion since Kazakhstan's accession in November 2025, with no new signatories in 2026. Saudi Arabia, the prime candidate, faces domestic public opinion polls showing normalization as politically toxic without Palestinian statehood advances, as highlighted in recent analyses, while Syrian leader Ahmed al-Sharaa explicitly ruled out joining amid ongoing regional instability. U.S. administration urgings, including President Trump's repeated calls, have yielded only vague interest without scheduled summits or bilateral breakthroughs by late March. Absent late-breaking negotiations or incentives, the June 30 deadline appears unlikely to see another country normalize relations with Israel.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoNOVO
NOVO
30 jun 2026
NOVO
NOVO
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Traders' strong 80% consensus on "No" stems from the absence of concrete diplomatic progress toward Abraham Accords expansion since Kazakhstan's accession in November 2025, with no new signatories in 2026. Saudi Arabia, the prime candidate, faces domestic public opinion polls showing normalization as politically toxic without Palestinian statehood advances, as highlighted in recent analyses, while Syrian leader Ahmed al-Sharaa explicitly ruled out joining amid ongoing regional instability. U.S. administration urgings, including President Trump's repeated calls, have yielded only vague interest without scheduled summits or bilateral breakthroughs by late March. Absent late-breaking negotiations or incentives, the June 30 deadline appears unlikely to see another country normalize relations with Israel.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volume
$138Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Traders' strong 80% consensus on "No" stems from the absence of concrete diplomatic progress toward Abraham Accords expansion since Kazakhstan's accession in November 2025, with no new signatories in 2026. Saudi Arabia, the prime candidate, faces domestic public opinion polls showing normalization as politically toxic without Palestinian statehood advances, as highlighted in recent analyses, while Syrian leader Ahmed al-Sharaa explicitly ruled out joining amid ongoing regional instability. U.S. administration urgings, including President Trump's repeated calls, have yielded only vague interest without scheduled summits or bilateral breakthroughs by late March. Absent late-breaking negotiations or incentives, the June 30 deadline appears unlikely to see another country normalize relations with Israel.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$138Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders' strong 80% consensus on "No" stems from the absence of concrete diplomatic progress toward Abraham Accords expansion since Kazakhstan's accession in November 2025, with no new signatories in 2026. Saudi Arabia, the prime candidate, faces domestic public opinion polls showing normalization as politically toxic without Palestinian statehood advances, as highlighted in recent analyses, while Syrian leader Ahmed al-Sharaa explicitly ruled out joining amid ongoing regional instability. U.S. administration urgings, including President Trump's repeated calls, have yielded only vague interest without scheduled summits or bilateral breakthroughs by late March. Absent late-breaking negotiations or incentives, the June 30 deadline appears unlikely to see another country normalize relations with Israel.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions