In Alaska's open-seat gubernatorial race, with term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy sidelined, trader consensus gives conservative activist Bernadette Wilson a narrow 30.5% edge over former state Sen. Tom Begich's 25.5% to win the November 3 general election via ranked-choice voting, following the August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary. A March Alaska Survey Research poll showed Begich leading the crowded primary at 19% to Wilson's 14%, with Anchorage Mayor Dave Bronson and former Rep. Matt Claman close behind, but markets highlight GOP fragmentation among over a dozen Republicans—including ex-AG Treg Taylor (14%) and Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (11%)—offset by Wilson's grassroots appeal and early six-figure fundraising. Consolidation via endorsements, June 1 filing disclosures, or forums could tip the balance in this volatile, low-information contest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Аляски
Победитель выборов губернатора Аляски
Бернадетт Уилсон 31%
Том Бегич 26%
Трег Тейлор 14.5%
Нэнси Дальстром 11.1%
$821,758 Объем
$821,758 Объем

Бернадетт Уилсон
31%

Том Бегич
26%

Трег Тейлор
14%

Нэнси Дальстром
11%

Джонатан Крайсс-Томкинс
4%

Дэвид Бронсон
3%

Клик Бишоп
2%

Мэтт Кламан
1%

Адам Крам
<1%

Лиза Мурковски
<1%

Мэри Пэлтола
<1%

Мэтт Хейлала
<1%

Эдна ДеВриз
<1%

Шелли Хьюз
<1%

Хэнк Кролл
<1%

Джеймс Паркин
<1%

Брюс Уолден
<1%
Бернадетт Уилсон 31%
Том Бегич 26%
Трег Тейлор 14.5%
Нэнси Дальстром 11.1%
$821,758 Объем
$821,758 Объем

Бернадетт Уилсон
31%

Том Бегич
26%

Трег Тейлор
14%

Нэнси Дальстром
11%

Джонатан Крайсс-Томкинс
4%

Дэвид Бронсон
3%

Клик Бишоп
2%

Мэтт Кламан
1%

Адам Крам
<1%

Лиза Мурковски
<1%

Мэри Пэлтола
<1%

Мэтт Хейлала
<1%

Эдна ДеВриз
<1%

Шелли Хьюз
<1%

Хэнк Кролл
<1%

Джеймс Паркин
<1%

Брюс Уолден
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Alaska's open-seat gubernatorial race, with term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy sidelined, trader consensus gives conservative activist Bernadette Wilson a narrow 30.5% edge over former state Sen. Tom Begich's 25.5% to win the November 3 general election via ranked-choice voting, following the August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary. A March Alaska Survey Research poll showed Begich leading the crowded primary at 19% to Wilson's 14%, with Anchorage Mayor Dave Bronson and former Rep. Matt Claman close behind, but markets highlight GOP fragmentation among over a dozen Republicans—including ex-AG Treg Taylor (14%) and Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (11%)—offset by Wilson's grassroots appeal and early six-figure fundraising. Consolidation via endorsements, June 1 filing disclosures, or forums could tip the balance in this volatile, low-information contest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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