Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 78-83°F for Miami's March 27 high temperature, driven by NOAA's latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peaks near 81°F under persistent high pressure and light southerly winds enhancing daytime heating. Differentiating factors include model divergence on sea breeze timing—earlier onshore flow could cap highs at 78-79°F via coastal cooling, while delayed breezes favor 82-83°F amid ample solar insolation. Historical late-March norms average 79°F, but recent soundings show low convective inhibition, tilting odds toward the warmer bins; upcoming 12z model runs could sharpen consensus as traders weigh these biophysical nuances against minimal frontal threats.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Miami on March 27?
Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?
82-83°F 29%
78-79°F 27%
80-81°F 27%
84-85°F 6%
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
5%
90°F or higher
1%
82-83°F 29%
78-79°F 27%
80-81°F 27%
84-85°F 6%
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
5%
90°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 78-83°F for Miami's March 27 high temperature, driven by NOAA's latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peaks near 81°F under persistent high pressure and light southerly winds enhancing daytime heating. Differentiating factors include model divergence on sea breeze timing—earlier onshore flow could cap highs at 78-79°F via coastal cooling, while delayed breezes favor 82-83°F amid ample solar insolation. Historical late-March norms average 79°F, but recent soundings show low convective inhibition, tilting odds toward the warmer bins; upcoming 12z model runs could sharpen consensus as traders weigh these biophysical nuances against minimal frontal threats.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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