Trader consensus on Miami's March 26 high temperature clusters tightly around 80-83°F, driven by ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models projecting peaks in this range amid persistent southerly winds advecting Gulf moisture and warmth. Recent 12z model runs show slight divergence—GFS leaning toward 82-83°F with stronger onshore flow, while ECMWF favors 80-81°F under partial cloud influence—mirroring the 34% and 30.5% odds atop the market. Above-normal sea surface temperatures (2-3°F anomaly) and minimal cold front risk differentiate these from cooler bins, though urban heat island effects and afternoon sea breeze timing add uncertainty to exact 1°F bins versus historical late-March averages near 79°F. Upcoming 00z updates could shift odds further.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Майами 26 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Майами 26 марта?
82-83°F 35%
80-81°F 31%
84-85°F 17%
78-79°F 12%
$16,236 Объем
$16,236 Объем
71°F или ниже
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
31%
82-83°F
35%
84-85°F
17%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
90°F или выше
1%
82-83°F 35%
80-81°F 31%
84-85°F 17%
78-79°F 12%
$16,236 Объем
$16,236 Объем
71°F или ниже
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
31%
82-83°F
35%
84-85°F
17%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
90°F или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Miami's March 26 high temperature clusters tightly around 80-83°F, driven by ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models projecting peaks in this range amid persistent southerly winds advecting Gulf moisture and warmth. Recent 12z model runs show slight divergence—GFS leaning toward 82-83°F with stronger onshore flow, while ECMWF favors 80-81°F under partial cloud influence—mirroring the 34% and 30.5% odds atop the market. Above-normal sea surface temperatures (2-3°F anomaly) and minimal cold front risk differentiate these from cooler bins, though urban heat island effects and afternoon sea breeze timing add uncertainty to exact 1°F bins versus historical late-March averages near 79°F. Upcoming 00z updates could shift odds further.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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