Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects meteorological uncertainty for Taipei's highest temperature on March 29, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 22–26°C amid closely matched outcomes near 20–22%. The Central Weather Administration's latest short-range forecasts indicate mild conditions under a weakening frontal system, featuring partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and daytime highs in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, consistent with late March climatology where average highs hover near 24°C. Model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS show slight divergence on cloud cover and sea breeze effects, which could nudge the peak by 1–2°C, while low odds for extremes stem from absent heat dome signals or tropical influences. Updated observations and evening forecasts from CWA will refine trader positioning before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Taipei on March 29?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29?
23°C 32%
24°C 32%
22°C or below 25%
29°C 19%
22°C or below
25%
23°C
20%
24°C
22%
25°C
19%
26°C
19%
27°C
17%
28°C
16%
29°C
13%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
23°C 32%
24°C 32%
22°C or below 25%
29°C 19%
22°C or below
25%
23°C
20%
24°C
22%
25°C
19%
26°C
19%
27°C
17%
28°C
16%
29°C
13%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 25, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects meteorological uncertainty for Taipei's highest temperature on March 29, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 22–26°C amid closely matched outcomes near 20–22%. The Central Weather Administration's latest short-range forecasts indicate mild conditions under a weakening frontal system, featuring partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and daytime highs in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, consistent with late March climatology where average highs hover near 24°C. Model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS show slight divergence on cloud cover and sea breeze effects, which could nudge the peak by 1–2°C, while low odds for extremes stem from absent heat dome signals or tropical influences. Updated observations and evening forecasts from CWA will refine trader positioning before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы