Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Germany's Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) show Munich's high temperature on March 29 clustering tightly around 7-8°C, aligning with trader sentiment where 7°C holds a 28% implied probability and 8°C trails at 24%, edging out nearby outcomes. This reflects recent model runs capturing a cool northerly airflow and scattered cloud cover suppressing insolation and daytime heating after a week of variable spring patterns in Central Europe. Climatological norms for late March average 9-11°C, but current 500-hPa troughing favors subdued highs. Key differentiators include boundary-layer stability and afternoon cumulus development, with DWD's next update and real-time METAR observations poised to refine the 1-2°C spread as resolution nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Munich on March 29?
Highest temperature in Munich on March 29?
7°C 28%
8°C 22%
6°C 21%
9°C 12%
2°C or below
2%
3°C
6%
4°C
5%
5°C
7%
6°C
21%
7°C
28%
8°C
22%
9°C
12%
10°C
5%
11°C
4%
12°C or higher
3%
7°C 28%
8°C 22%
6°C 21%
9°C 12%
2°C or below
2%
3°C
6%
4°C
5%
5°C
7%
6°C
21%
7°C
28%
8°C
22%
9°C
12%
10°C
5%
11°C
4%
12°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Germany's Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) show Munich's high temperature on March 29 clustering tightly around 7-8°C, aligning with trader sentiment where 7°C holds a 28% implied probability and 8°C trails at 24%, edging out nearby outcomes. This reflects recent model runs capturing a cool northerly airflow and scattered cloud cover suppressing insolation and daytime heating after a week of variable spring patterns in Central Europe. Climatological norms for late March average 9-11°C, but current 500-hPa troughing favors subdued highs. Key differentiators include boundary-layer stability and afternoon cumulus development, with DWD's next update and real-time METAR observations poised to refine the 1-2°C spread as resolution nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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