Consensus from leading weather models like ECMWF and GFS implies a Chongqing high of 21-24°C on March 26, fueling trader bets in that narrow band where probabilities cluster above 17%. Recent runs highlight southerly winds advecting moist, warm air from the Yangtze basin, amplified by the city's heat-trapping topography and urban heat island effect, pushing above the March historical average of 18-20°C. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover—sparse per latest forecasts versus potential afternoon convection cooling lower outcomes—and model spread of ±2°C, with CMA updates tomorrow likely to sharpen odds amid low precipitation risk. This uncertainty tempers bets on extremes like 18°C or below (9.5%) or 26°C+ (12.5% combined).
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 26?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 26?
24°C 21%
21°C 20%
23°C 19%
22°C 18%
18°C or below
10%
19°C
9%
20°C
11%
21°C
25%
22°C
18%
23°C
18%
24°C
21%
25°C
6%
26°C
8%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
4%
24°C 21%
21°C 20%
23°C 19%
22°C 18%
18°C or below
10%
19°C
9%
20°C
11%
21°C
25%
22°C
18%
23°C
18%
24°C
21%
25°C
6%
26°C
8%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 22, 2026, 6:21 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Consensus from leading weather models like ECMWF and GFS implies a Chongqing high of 21-24°C on March 26, fueling trader bets in that narrow band where probabilities cluster above 17%. Recent runs highlight southerly winds advecting moist, warm air from the Yangtze basin, amplified by the city's heat-trapping topography and urban heat island effect, pushing above the March historical average of 18-20°C. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover—sparse per latest forecasts versus potential afternoon convection cooling lower outcomes—and model spread of ±2°C, with CMA updates tomorrow likely to sharpen odds amid low precipitation risk. This uncertainty tempers bets on extremes like 18°C or below (9.5%) or 26°C+ (12.5% combined).
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы