Latest multi-model ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS indicate Chongqing's highest temperature on March 27 clustering tightly around 19-22°C, fueling the neck-and-neck trader odds with 21°C at 22% implied probability leading narrowly over 20°C and 22°C. This reflects a mild warming trend post-recent cold frontal passage, with subtropical high pressure building aloft to suppress cooler air masses typical for late March in the Yangtze River basin, where historical highs average 17-20°C. Model spread highlights uncertainty from potential cloud cover or northerly winds, but consensus favors the 20°C threshold; traders eye China's Meteorological Administration's 24-hour update for resolution-defining precision.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 27?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 27?
21°C 24%
19°C 23%
20°C 22%
22°C 16%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
11%
19°C
23%
20°C
22%
21°C
24%
22°C
16%
23°C
12%
24°C
9%
25°C
6%
26°C or higher
2%
21°C 24%
19°C 23%
20°C 22%
22°C 16%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
11%
19°C
23%
20°C
22%
21°C
24%
22°C
16%
23°C
12%
24°C
9%
25°C
6%
26°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest multi-model ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS indicate Chongqing's highest temperature on March 27 clustering tightly around 19-22°C, fueling the neck-and-neck trader odds with 21°C at 22% implied probability leading narrowly over 20°C and 22°C. This reflects a mild warming trend post-recent cold frontal passage, with subtropical high pressure building aloft to suppress cooler air masses typical for late March in the Yangtze River basin, where historical highs average 17-20°C. Model spread highlights uncertainty from potential cloud cover or northerly winds, but consensus favors the 20°C threshold; traders eye China's Meteorological Administration's 24-hour update for resolution-defining precision.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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