Latest ensemble forecasts from numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS, project Shenzhen's highest temperature on March 26 at 26-27°C, fueling the razor-thin trader consensus with 33% odds on 26°C and 27.5% on 27°C amid a tight 1°C spread. This reflects strengthening southerly winds advecting warm, moist air from the South China Sea, elevating readings above the late-March climatological average of ~25°C, while partial cloud cover introduces uncertainty that differentiates lower probabilities for 25°C (15%) or 28°C (11.5%). Urban heat island effects in densely built Shenzhen amplify peaks, but diurnal timing and sea breeze onset could cap extremes; monitor China Meteorological Administration updates for resolution-defining hourly data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on March 26?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 26?
26°C 39%
27°C 25%
28°C 16%
25°C 15%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
4%
24°C
13%
25°C
15%
26°C
34%
27°C
25%
28°C
13%
29°C
12%
30°C or higher
6%
26°C 39%
27°C 25%
28°C 16%
25°C 15%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
4%
24°C
13%
25°C
15%
26°C
34%
27°C
25%
28°C
13%
29°C
12%
30°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 22, 2026, 6:19 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS, project Shenzhen's highest temperature on March 26 at 26-27°C, fueling the razor-thin trader consensus with 33% odds on 26°C and 27.5% on 27°C amid a tight 1°C spread. This reflects strengthening southerly winds advecting warm, moist air from the South China Sea, elevating readings above the late-March climatological average of ~25°C, while partial cloud cover introduces uncertainty that differentiates lower probabilities for 25°C (15%) or 28°C (11.5%). Urban heat island effects in densely built Shenzhen amplify peaks, but diurnal timing and sea breeze onset could cap extremes; monitor China Meteorological Administration updates for resolution-defining hourly data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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