Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global models like ECMWF and GFS project Beijing's highest temperature on March 29 between 21–24°C, fueling tight trader sentiment with 22°C leading at 25% implied probability, closely trailed by 24°C (22.5%) and 23°C (20.5%). This clustering stems from consensus on persistent southerly winds advecting mild air masses amid neutral ENSO conditions, but differentiation arises from model disagreements on afternoon cloud cover and boundary layer mixing, which could suppress peaks by 1–2°C or allow brief spikes above 24°C. Recent CMA updates over the past 48 hours warmed projections 2°C from prior runs due to observed high-pressure ridging; watch tomorrow's 00Z model refresh and surface observations for resolution clarity as diurnal heating patterns emerge. Historical late-March highs average 13°C but have hit 25°C in warm anomalies.