Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a sharp warming trend in Tel Aviv, with highs climbing from 21°C on April 13 to 27°C at Ben Gurion Airport on April 14, driven by light southerly winds advecting hot desert air from the Negev, per Israel Meteorological Service observations. Latest blended forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project today's maximum around 33-35°C under a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and abundant sunshine, though sea breeze incursions and potential afternoon clouds introduce uncertainty differentiating 35°C+ (38% implied probability), 34°C (30%), and 33°C (23%). Unseasonably warm for mid-April—well above the 24°C climatological average—traders await hourly NOAA observations at Ben Gurion for resolution, with peak heat expected mid-afternoon.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 15?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 15?
35°C or higher 40%
34°C 37%
33°C 22%
32°C 5%
НОВОЕ
$54,333 Объем
НОВОЕ
$54,333 Объем
15 апр. 2026 г.
25°C or below
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
22%
34°C
37%
35°C or higher
40%
35°C or higher 40%
34°C 37%
33°C 22%
32°C 5%
НОВОЕ
$54,333 Объем
НОВОЕ
$54,333 Объем
15 апр. 2026 г.
25°C or below
$12,366 Объем
1%
26°C
$1,980 Объем
<1%
27°C
$3,432 Объем
<1%
28°C
$4,263 Объем
<1%
29°C
$4,157 Объем
<1%
30°C
$3,704 Объем
1%
31°C
$6,689 Объем
1%
32°C
$3,328 Объем
5%
33°C
$3,127 Объем
22%
34°C
$5,034 Объем
37%
35°C or higher
$6,256 Объем
40%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a sharp warming trend in Tel Aviv, with highs climbing from 21°C on April 13 to 27°C at Ben Gurion Airport on April 14, driven by light southerly winds advecting hot desert air from the Negev, per Israel Meteorological Service observations. Latest blended forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project today's maximum around 33-35°C under a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and abundant sunshine, though sea breeze incursions and potential afternoon clouds introduce uncertainty differentiating 35°C+ (38% implied probability), 34°C (30%), and 33°C (23%). Unseasonably warm for mid-April—well above the 24°C climatological average—traders await hourly NOAA observations at Ben Gurion for resolution, with peak heat expected mid-afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Объем
$54,333Дата окончания
15 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a sharp warming trend in Tel Aviv, with highs climbing from 21°C on April 13 to 27°C at Ben Gurion Airport on April 14, driven by light southerly winds advecting hot desert air from the Negev, per Israel Meteorological Service observations. Latest blended forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project today's maximum around 33-35°C under a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and abundant sunshine, though sea breeze incursions and potential afternoon clouds introduce uncertainty differentiating 35°C+ (38% implied probability), 34°C (30%), and 33°C (23%). Unseasonably warm for mid-April—well above the 24°C climatological average—traders await hourly NOAA observations at Ben Gurion for resolution, with peak heat expected mid-afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$54,333Дата окончания
15 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a sharp warming trend in Tel Aviv, with highs climbing from 21°C on April 13 to 27°C at Ben Gurion Airport on April 14, driven by light southerly winds advecting hot desert air from the Negev, per Israel Meteorological Service observations. Latest blended forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project today's maximum around 33-35°C under a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and abundant sunshine, though sea breeze incursions and potential afternoon clouds introduce uncertainty differentiating 35°C+ (38% implied probability), 34°C (30%), and 33°C (23%). Unseasonably warm for mid-April—well above the 24°C climatological average—traders await hourly NOAA observations at Ben Gurion for resolution, with peak heat expected mid-afternoon.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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