Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close clustering around 34–36°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 16, driven by the Israel Meteorological Service's latest guidance forecasting unseasonably high temperatures amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge and northerly winds promoting daytime heating through subsidence and clear skies. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble spreads of 2–3°C, with some runs peaking near 36°C before coastal sea breezes moderate extremes, explaining the tight race between outcomes. Recent warming over the past 48 hours—from 30°C on April 14—has amplified this short-term heat surge well above April's climatological average of 23°C. Key differentiators include sea surface temperatures limiting upper bounds and potential afternoon haze; updated model runs expected later today could shift odds further.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 16?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 16?
35°C 32%
34°C 24%
36°C 18%
33°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 апр. 2026 г.
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
12%
34°C
24%
35°C
32%
36°C
18%
37°C or higher
9%
35°C 32%
34°C 24%
36°C 18%
33°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 апр. 2026 г.
27°C or below
$386 Объем
1%
28°C
$132 Объем
1%
29°C
$50 Объем
1%
30°C
$44 Объем
2%
31°C
$63 Объем
2%
32°C
$287 Объем
4%
33°C
$105 Объем
12%
34°C
$0 Объем
24%
35°C
$92 Объем
32%
36°C
$66 Объем
18%
37°C or higher
$196 Объем
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close clustering around 34–36°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 16, driven by the Israel Meteorological Service's latest guidance forecasting unseasonably high temperatures amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge and northerly winds promoting daytime heating through subsidence and clear skies. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble spreads of 2–3°C, with some runs peaking near 36°C before coastal sea breezes moderate extremes, explaining the tight race between outcomes. Recent warming over the past 48 hours—from 30°C on April 14—has amplified this short-term heat surge well above April's climatological average of 23°C. Key differentiators include sea surface temperatures limiting upper bounds and potential afternoon haze; updated model runs expected later today could shift odds further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Объем
$1,422Дата окончания
16 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close clustering around 34–36°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 16, driven by the Israel Meteorological Service's latest guidance forecasting unseasonably high temperatures amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge and northerly winds promoting daytime heating through subsidence and clear skies. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble spreads of 2–3°C, with some runs peaking near 36°C before coastal sea breezes moderate extremes, explaining the tight race between outcomes. Recent warming over the past 48 hours—from 30°C on April 14—has amplified this short-term heat surge well above April's climatological average of 23°C. Key differentiators include sea surface temperatures limiting upper bounds and potential afternoon haze; updated model runs expected later today could shift odds further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$1,422Дата окончания
16 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close clustering around 34–36°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 16, driven by the Israel Meteorological Service's latest guidance forecasting unseasonably high temperatures amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge and northerly winds promoting daytime heating through subsidence and clear skies. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble spreads of 2–3°C, with some runs peaking near 36°C before coastal sea breezes moderate extremes, explaining the tight race between outcomes. Recent warming over the past 48 hours—from 30°C on April 14—has amplified this short-term heat surge well above April's climatological average of 23°C. Key differentiators include sea surface temperatures limiting upper bounds and potential afternoon haze; updated model runs expected later today could shift odds further.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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