Texas's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its Solid Republican rating and history of lopsided GOP margins in recent cycles. Incumbent August Pfluger secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Claire Reynolds advanced from a contested primary to face him in the November general election. The district's voter base, concentrated in rural and conservative West Texas areas, supports high turnout advantages for Republican candidates on issues such as energy policy and border security. Trader consensus at 93 percent for the Republican outcome aligns with these structural factors. A national Democratic wave, significant Pfluger-specific controversy, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district based on prior election data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTX-11 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
TX-11 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$24,922 Объем
$24,922 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
93%
Демократическая партия
7%
$24,922 Объем
$24,922 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$6,676 Объем
93%
Демократическая партия
$18,246 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its Solid Republican rating and history of lopsided GOP margins in recent cycles. Incumbent August Pfluger secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Claire Reynolds advanced from a contested primary to face him in the November general election. The district's voter base, concentrated in rural and conservative West Texas areas, supports high turnout advantages for Republican candidates on issues such as energy policy and border security. Trader consensus at 93 percent for the Republican outcome aligns with these structural factors. A national Democratic wave, significant Pfluger-specific controversy, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district based on prior election data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$24,922Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its Solid Republican rating and history of lopsided GOP margins in recent cycles. Incumbent August Pfluger secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Claire Reynolds advanced from a contested primary to face him in the November general election. The district's voter base, concentrated in rural and conservative West Texas areas, supports high turnout advantages for Republican candidates on issues such as energy policy and border security. Trader consensus at 93 percent for the Republican outcome aligns with these structural factors. A national Democratic wave, significant Pfluger-specific controversy, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district based on prior election data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$24,922Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its Solid Republican rating and history of lopsided GOP margins in recent cycles. Incumbent August Pfluger secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Claire Reynolds advanced from a contested primary to face him in the November general election. The district's voter base, concentrated in rural and conservative West Texas areas, supports high turnout advantages for Republican candidates on issues such as energy policy and border security. Trader consensus at 93 percent for the Republican outcome aligns with these structural factors. A national Democratic wave, significant Pfluger-specific controversy, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district based on prior election data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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