Texas's 11th congressional district features a strong Republican structural advantage, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index around R+22 and consistent double-digit GOP margins in prior cycles. Incumbent August Pfluger secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Claire Reynolds advanced as her party's nominee after defeating Pedro Ruiz. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure, fundraising gaps, and historical turnout patterns in the district's rural and energy-producing areas. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican aligns with these factors. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though the timeline to the November 3 general election leaves little room for such shifts to materialize.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTX-11 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
TX-11 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$32,186 Объем
$32,186 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
94%
Демократическая партия
6%
$32,186 Объем
$32,186 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$8,888 Объем
94%
Демократическая партия
$23,298 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 11th congressional district features a strong Republican structural advantage, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index around R+22 and consistent double-digit GOP margins in prior cycles. Incumbent August Pfluger secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Claire Reynolds advanced as her party's nominee after defeating Pedro Ruiz. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure, fundraising gaps, and historical turnout patterns in the district's rural and energy-producing areas. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican aligns with these factors. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though the timeline to the November 3 general election leaves little room for such shifts to materialize.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$32,186Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 11th congressional district features a strong Republican structural advantage, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index around R+22 and consistent double-digit GOP margins in prior cycles. Incumbent August Pfluger secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Claire Reynolds advanced as her party's nominee after defeating Pedro Ruiz. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure, fundraising gaps, and historical turnout patterns in the district's rural and energy-producing areas. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican aligns with these factors. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though the timeline to the November 3 general election leaves little room for such shifts to materialize.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$32,186Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 11th congressional district features a strong Republican structural advantage, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index around R+22 and consistent double-digit GOP margins in prior cycles. Incumbent August Pfluger secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Claire Reynolds advanced as her party's nominee after defeating Pedro Ruiz. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure, fundraising gaps, and historical turnout patterns in the district's rural and energy-producing areas. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican aligns with these factors. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though the timeline to the November 3 general election leaves little room for such shifts to materialize.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы