The closely matched market-implied odds for 33°C and 34°C as Panama City's July 18 high reflect uncertainty in short-range forecast guidance amid the region's typical wet-season convection. Afternoon thunderstorms driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone often limit peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, with historical July averages near 31–32°C at Tocumen International Airport. Small variations in model consensus on precipitation timing, boundary-layer moisture, or light wind patterns can shift the daily maximum by 1°C, while ENSO-neutral conditions provide no strong large-scale signal. Traders are monitoring the next GFS and ECMWF runs plus local Panamanian meteorological updates for clearer resolution criteria on the exact peak reading.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Panama City on July 18?
Highest temperature in Panama City on July 18?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$33,157 ปริมาณ
$33,157 ปริมาณ
Jul 18, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$33,157 ปริมาณ
$33,157 ปริมาณ
Jul 18, 2026
28°C or below
$2,248 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$614 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$662 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$3,678 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$2,246 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$10,877 ปริมาณ
Yes
34°C
$4,557 ปริมาณ
No
35°C
$4,210 ปริมาณ
No
36°C
$2,845 ปริมาณ
No
37°C
$666 ปริมาณ
No
38°C or higher
$553 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market-implied odds for 33°C and 34°C as Panama City's July 18 high reflect uncertainty in short-range forecast guidance amid the region's typical wet-season convection. Afternoon thunderstorms driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone often limit peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, with historical July averages near 31–32°C at Tocumen International Airport. Small variations in model consensus on precipitation timing, boundary-layer moisture, or light wind patterns can shift the daily maximum by 1°C, while ENSO-neutral conditions provide no strong large-scale signal. Traders are monitoring the next GFS and ECMWF runs plus local Panamanian meteorological updates for clearer resolution criteria on the exact peak reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 16, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,157วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 16, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market-implied odds for 33°C and 34°C as Panama City's July 18 high reflect uncertainty in short-range forecast guidance amid the region's typical wet-season convection. Afternoon thunderstorms driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone often limit peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, with historical July averages near 31–32°C at Tocumen International Airport. Small variations in model consensus on precipitation timing, boundary-layer moisture, or light wind patterns can shift the daily maximum by 1°C, while ENSO-neutral conditions provide no strong large-scale signal. Traders are monitoring the next GFS and ECMWF runs plus local Panamanian meteorological updates for clearer resolution criteria on the exact peak reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,157วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 16, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The closely matched market-implied odds for 33°C and 34°C as Panama City's July 18 high reflect uncertainty in short-range forecast guidance amid the region's typical wet-season convection. Afternoon thunderstorms driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone often limit peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, with historical July averages near 31–32°C at Tocumen International Airport. Small variations in model consensus on precipitation timing, boundary-layer moisture, or light wind patterns can shift the daily maximum by 1°C, while ENSO-neutral conditions provide no strong large-scale signal. Traders are monitoring the next GFS and ECMWF runs plus local Panamanian meteorological updates for clearer resolution criteria on the exact peak reading.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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