Current forecasts from global models indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv around 24–26°C overnight into September 17, driven by clear skies, light to moderate westerly winds, and typical late-summer radiative cooling under high pressure. This positions 25°C as the market favorite at 53% implied probability, with nearby outcomes at 24°C and 23°C reflecting minor model spread in dew points and boundary-layer mixing. The 20°C outcome at 47.5% appears to embed residual uncertainty from earlier runs or localized cooling scenarios, though recent observations and consensus guidance favor the higher cluster. Resolution will hinge on the official lowest hourly reading, with traders monitoring any late adjustments in humidity or wind patterns through the night.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 17?
20°C 95%
22°C 10%
19°C or below 1.4%
23°C 1%
$977 ปริมาณ
$977 ปริมาณ
19°C or below
1%
20°C
95%
21°C
<1%
22°C
10%
23°C
23%
24°C
47%
25°C
54%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
20°C 95%
22°C 10%
19°C or below 1.4%
23°C 1%
$977 ปริมาณ
$977 ปริมาณ
19°C or below
1%
20°C
95%
21°C
<1%
22°C
10%
23°C
23%
24°C
47%
25°C
54%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from global models indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv around 24–26°C overnight into September 17, driven by clear skies, light to moderate westerly winds, and typical late-summer radiative cooling under high pressure. This positions 25°C as the market favorite at 53% implied probability, with nearby outcomes at 24°C and 23°C reflecting minor model spread in dew points and boundary-layer mixing. The 20°C outcome at 47.5% appears to embed residual uncertainty from earlier runs or localized cooling scenarios, though recent observations and consensus guidance favor the higher cluster. Resolution will hinge on the official lowest hourly reading, with traders monitoring any late adjustments in humidity or wind patterns through the night.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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