Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's Copom meeting on April 29, 2026, with 96.1% implied probability, building on the easing cycle launched March 18 when rates were cut 25 basis points to 14.75% after five holds at 15%. This positioning persists despite March IPCA inflation accelerating to 4.14% year-over-year—driven by 4.59% gasoline surges—exceeding forecasts amid fuel shocks, as core disinflation trends and Focus survey projections of 4.1% 2026 inflation support further monetary loosening to foster convergence to the 3% target. Upside risks from persistent energy pressures or weakening activity could prompt a pause, though recent central bank comments affirm caution amid uncertainties.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiAzalış 96.1%
Değişiklik Yok 3.6%
Artış <1%
$273,917 Hac.
$273,917 Hac.
28 Nis 2026
Artış
1%
Değişiklik Yok
4%
Azalış
96%
Azalış 96.1%
Değişiklik Yok 3.6%
Artış <1%
$273,917 Hac.
$273,917 Hac.
28 Nis 2026
Artış
$146,219 Hac.
1%
Değişiklik Yok
$62,505 Hac.
4%
Azalış
$65,193 Hac.
96%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's Copom meeting on April 29, 2026, with 96.1% implied probability, building on the easing cycle launched March 18 when rates were cut 25 basis points to 14.75% after five holds at 15%. This positioning persists despite March IPCA inflation accelerating to 4.14% year-over-year—driven by 4.59% gasoline surges—exceeding forecasts amid fuel shocks, as core disinflation trends and Focus survey projections of 4.1% 2026 inflation support further monetary loosening to foster convergence to the 3% target. Upside risks from persistent energy pressures or weakening activity could prompt a pause, though recent central bank comments affirm caution amid uncertainties.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
Hacim
$273,917Bitiş Tarihi
28 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's Copom meeting on April 29, 2026, with 96.1% implied probability, building on the easing cycle launched March 18 when rates were cut 25 basis points to 14.75% after five holds at 15%. This positioning persists despite March IPCA inflation accelerating to 4.14% year-over-year—driven by 4.59% gasoline surges—exceeding forecasts amid fuel shocks, as core disinflation trends and Focus survey projections of 4.1% 2026 inflation support further monetary loosening to foster convergence to the 3% target. Upside risks from persistent energy pressures or weakening activity could prompt a pause, though recent central bank comments affirm caution amid uncertainties.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Hacim
$273,917Bitiş Tarihi
28 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's Copom meeting on April 29, 2026, with 96.1% implied probability, building on the easing cycle launched March 18 when rates were cut 25 basis points to 14.75% after five holds at 15%. This positioning persists despite March IPCA inflation accelerating to 4.14% year-over-year—driven by 4.59% gasoline surges—exceeding forecasts amid fuel shocks, as core disinflation trends and Focus survey projections of 4.1% 2026 inflation support further monetary loosening to foster convergence to the 3% target. Upside risks from persistent energy pressures or weakening activity could prompt a pause, though recent central bank comments affirm caution amid uncertainties.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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