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Ekonomi·Genel Fiyatlar

Kanada Merkez Bankası'nın Nisan ayındaki kararı mı?

Market icon
Ekonomi·Genel Fiyatlar

Kanada Merkez Bankası'nın Nisan ayındaki kararı mı?

Nis 29

Haz 10

Nis 29

Haz 10

Değişiklik yok 98.0%

Artış 1.1%

25 baz puanlık indirim <1%

50+ baz puanlık indirim <1%

Polymarket

$100,188 Hac.

Değişiklik yok 98.0%

Artış 1.1%

25 baz puanlık indirim <1%

50+ baz puanlık indirim <1%

Polymarket

$100,188 Hac.

50+ baz puanlık indirim

$25,390 Hac.

<1%

25 baz puanlık indirim

$27,018 Hac.

1%

Değişiklik yok

$35,468 Hac.

98%

Artış

$12,313 Hac.

1%

This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's April 2026 meeting. If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its April 29, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 98% implied probability to no change in the Bank of Canada's policy rate at its April 29 announcement, anchored by the Governing Council's March 18 hold at 2.25% following February CPI easing to 1.8% year-over-year. This positioning reflects balanced inflation trajectory—with recent core measures printing softer than forecasts at 2.6% year-over-year—and modest 1.1% GDP growth outlook amid structural economic shifts highlighted by Governor Tiff Macklem. Labor market resilience and oil price risks further support patience over cuts. Realistic challenges include hotter-than-expected April CPI or trade disruptions tilting toward a 25 basis points reduction, though upside inflation pressures could revive hike odds.

This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's April 2026 meeting.

If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its April 29, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Hacim
$100,188
Bitiş Tarihi
29 Nis 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 30, 2026, 7:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's April 2026 meeting. If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its April 29, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's April 2026 meeting. If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its April 29, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 98% implied probability to no change in the Bank of Canada's policy rate at its April 29 announcement, anchored by the Governing Council's March 18 hold at 2.25% following February CPI easing to 1.8% year-over-year. This positioning reflects balanced inflation trajectory—with recent core measures printing softer than forecasts at 2.6% year-over-year—and modest 1.1% GDP growth outlook amid structural economic shifts highlighted by Governor Tiff Macklem. Labor market resilience and oil price risks further support patience over cuts. Realistic challenges include hotter-than-expected April CPI or trade disruptions tilting toward a 25 basis points reduction, though upside inflation pressures could revive hike odds.

This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's April 2026 meeting.

If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its April 29, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Hacim
$100,188
Bitiş Tarihi
29 Nis 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 30, 2026, 7:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's April 2026 meeting. If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its April 29, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Kanada Merkez Bankası'nın Nisan ayındaki kararı mı?", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 4 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 98% ile "Değişiklik yok", ardından 1% ile "25 baz puanlık indirim" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 98¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 98% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "Kanada Merkez Bankası'nın Nisan ayındaki kararı mı?" toplam $100.2K işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Jan 31, 2026 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"Kanada Merkez Bankası'nın Nisan ayındaki kararı mı?" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 4 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Kanada Merkez Bankası'nın Nisan ayındaki kararı mı?" için mevcut favori 98% ile "Değişiklik yok"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 98% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 1% ile "25 baz puanlık indirim"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"Kanada Merkez Bankası'nın Nisan ayındaki kararı mı?" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.