Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 36°C (73.5% implied probability) at Ben Gurion International Airport, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which project peaks of 34–36°C amid minimal ensemble spread from recent 24-hour runs. A spring heatwave fueled by a persistent high-pressure ridge promotes subsidence, clear skies, and hazy conditions from dust, boosting surface heating well above April climatological averages of 22–25°C. AccuWeather forecasts align closely at 97°F (36°C), though some models hint at 37°C+ potential (26.7%) if easterly desert winds intensify. Hourly NOAA observations at LLBG today will clarify as the peak typically occurs mid-afternoon, with inherent forecast uncertainty around boundary layer mixing.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiTel Aviv'deki en yüksek sıcaklık 16 Nisan'da mı?
Tel Aviv'deki en yüksek sıcaklık 16 Nisan'da mı?
36°C 77%
37°C veya daha yüksek 17.8%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
YENİ
$53,802 Hac.
YENİ
$53,802 Hac.
16 Nis 2026
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
77%
37°C veya daha yüksek
18%
36°C 77%
37°C veya daha yüksek 17.8%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
YENİ
$53,802 Hac.
YENİ
$53,802 Hac.
16 Nis 2026
34°C
$8,719 Hac.
<1%
35°C
$5,660 Hac.
<1%
36°C
$5,491 Hac.
77%
37°C veya daha yüksek
$8,520 Hac.
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 36°C (73.5% implied probability) at Ben Gurion International Airport, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which project peaks of 34–36°C amid minimal ensemble spread from recent 24-hour runs. A spring heatwave fueled by a persistent high-pressure ridge promotes subsidence, clear skies, and hazy conditions from dust, boosting surface heating well above April climatological averages of 22–25°C. AccuWeather forecasts align closely at 97°F (36°C), though some models hint at 37°C+ potential (26.7%) if easterly desert winds intensify. Hourly NOAA observations at LLBG today will clarify as the peak typically occurs mid-afternoon, with inherent forecast uncertainty around boundary layer mixing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Hacim
$53,802Bitiş Tarihi
16 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 36°C (73.5% implied probability) at Ben Gurion International Airport, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which project peaks of 34–36°C amid minimal ensemble spread from recent 24-hour runs. A spring heatwave fueled by a persistent high-pressure ridge promotes subsidence, clear skies, and hazy conditions from dust, boosting surface heating well above April climatological averages of 22–25°C. AccuWeather forecasts align closely at 97°F (36°C), though some models hint at 37°C+ potential (26.7%) if easterly desert winds intensify. Hourly NOAA observations at LLBG today will clarify as the peak typically occurs mid-afternoon, with inherent forecast uncertainty around boundary layer mixing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$53,802Bitiş Tarihi
16 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 36°C (73.5% implied probability) at Ben Gurion International Airport, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which project peaks of 34–36°C amid minimal ensemble spread from recent 24-hour runs. A spring heatwave fueled by a persistent high-pressure ridge promotes subsidence, clear skies, and hazy conditions from dust, boosting surface heating well above April climatological averages of 22–25°C. AccuWeather forecasts align closely at 97°F (36°C), though some models hint at 37°C+ potential (26.7%) if easterly desert winds intensify. Hourly NOAA observations at LLBG today will clarify as the peak typically occurs mid-afternoon, with inherent forecast uncertainty around boundary layer mixing.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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