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Siyaset·Fed

Bir sonraki Fed toplantısında kaç muhalefet var?

Market icon
Siyaset·Fed

Bir sonraki Fed toplantısında kaç muhalefet var?

Nis 29

Nis 29

1 64%

2 27%

3 6%

0 3.4%

Polymarket

$44,614 Hac.

1 64%

2 27%

3 6%

0 3.4%

Polymarket

$44,614 Hac.

0

$4,343 Hac.

3%

1

$14,872 Hac.

64%

2

$8,339 Hac.

27%

3

$1,248 Hac.

6%

4+

$15,812 Hac.

1%

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for April 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on April 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 63% implied probability of exactly one FOMC dissent at the April 28-29, 2026 meeting, reflecting the policy split highlighted in the March 17-18 minutes released April 8: most participants eyed rate cuts should protracted Middle East conflict—driving a 12.5% energy price surge in March CPI—threaten employment, while a sizable minority advocated hikes amid sticky inflation projected higher for longer. Steady unemployment near 4% and March dot plot signaling just one 2026 cut reinforce narrow discord favoring one dissenter, likely dovish; two dissents at 27% accounts for heightened hawk-dove tensions, with unanimous agreement at 3% deemed improbable. PPI data from April 14 adds to pre-meeting positioning.

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for April 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on April 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Hacim
$44,614
Bitiş Tarihi
29 Nis 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 19, 2026, 8:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for April 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on April 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for April 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on April 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 63% implied probability of exactly one FOMC dissent at the April 28-29, 2026 meeting, reflecting the policy split highlighted in the March 17-18 minutes released April 8: most participants eyed rate cuts should protracted Middle East conflict—driving a 12.5% energy price surge in March CPI—threaten employment, while a sizable minority advocated hikes amid sticky inflation projected higher for longer. Steady unemployment near 4% and March dot plot signaling just one 2026 cut reinforce narrow discord favoring one dissenter, likely dovish; two dissents at 27% accounts for heightened hawk-dove tensions, with unanimous agreement at 3% deemed improbable. PPI data from April 14 adds to pre-meeting positioning.

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for April 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on April 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Hacim
$44,614
Bitiş Tarihi
29 Nis 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 19, 2026, 8:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for April 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on April 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Bir sonraki Fed toplantısında kaç muhalefet var?", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 5 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 64% ile "1", ardından 27% ile "2" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 64¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 64% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "Bir sonraki Fed toplantısında kaç muhalefet var?" toplam $44.6K işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Mar 20, 2026 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"Bir sonraki Fed toplantısında kaç muhalefet var?" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 5 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Bir sonraki Fed toplantısında kaç muhalefet var?" için mevcut favori 64% ile "1"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 64% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 27% ile "2"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"Bir sonraki Fed toplantısında kaç muhalefet var?" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.