Skip to main content
Market icon
Siyaset·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?

Market icon
Siyaset·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?

Nis 17

Nis 21

Nis 24

Nis 17

Nis 21

Nis 24

TWEET COUNT
1
Kalan süre
TWEETS
1
Kalan süre

<5 71%

5-9 10%

15-19 7%

10-14 5.9%

Polymarket
YENİ

<5 71%

5-9 10%

15-19 7%

10-14 5.9%

Polymarket
YENİ

<5

$921 Hac.

71%

5-9

$163 Hac.

29%

10-14

$230 Hac.

19%

15-19

$320 Hac.

21%

20-24

$271 Hac.

11%

25-29

$376 Hac.

1%

30-34

$469 Hac.

3%

35-39

$362 Hac.

3%

40-44

$525 Hac.

1%

45-49

$545 Hac.

<1%

50-54

$795 Hac.

2%

55-59

$648 Hac.

<1%

60+

$1,135 Hac.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus heavily favors under 5 posts from Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) at 71% implied probability for April 10-17, reflecting the account's sparse activity since his martyrdom in early 2026 U.S.-Israel strikes on Iran, now managed by his office to share archival statements under a bio declaring him the "martyred Leader." Only one post appeared on April 13—a 1995 message on Prophet Jesus warning against oppression—amid Iran's leadership transition to son Mojtaba Khamenei and domestic unrest, with no escalation in regional tensions or official announcements prompting further output. The 5-9 bin at 28.5% captures slim odds of additional legacy posts before April 17 close, consistent with historical infrequency during non-crisis periods.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Hacim
$6,698
Bitiş Tarihi
17 Nis 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET

Çözümleme Kaynağı

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus heavily favors under 5 posts from Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) at 71% implied probability for April 10-17, reflecting the account's sparse activity since his martyrdom in early 2026 U.S.-Israel strikes on Iran, now managed by his office to share archival statements under a bio declaring him the "martyred Leader." Only one post appeared on April 13—a 1995 message on Prophet Jesus warning against oppression—amid Iran's leadership transition to son Mojtaba Khamenei and domestic unrest, with no escalation in regional tensions or official announcements prompting further output. The 5-9 bin at 28.5% captures slim odds of additional legacy posts before April 17 close, consistent with historical infrequency during non-crisis periods.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Hacim
$6,698
Bitiş Tarihi
17 Nis 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET

Çözümleme Kaynağı

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Khamenei # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 13 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 71% ile "<5", ardından 28% ile "5-9" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 71¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 71% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

"Khamenei # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?" Polymarket'te yeni oluşturulmuş bir piyasadır, Apr 7, 2026 tarihinde açıldı. Erken bir piyasa olarak, ilk yatırımcılar arasında yer alarak oranları belirleme ve piyasanın ilk fiyat sinyallerini oluşturma fırsatına sahipsiniz. Ayrıca piyasa zaman içinde ilgi kazandıkça hacmi ve işlem aktivitesini takip etmek için bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyebilirsiniz.

"Khamenei # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 13 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Khamenei # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?" için mevcut favori 71% ile "<5"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 71% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 28% ile "5-9"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"Khamenei # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.