US and Israeli airstrikes against Iran, part of Operation Enduring Fury, halted on April 7 per Pentagon announcement, following a fragile ceasefire amid collapsed peace talks and a US naval blockade enforcing control over the Strait of Hormuz. President Trump stated the conflict is "close to over," with CENTCOM confirming Iran's missile, naval, and air defense capabilities significantly degraded after five weeks of operations, and no new strikes reported since the pause. Senate Republicans rejected a war powers resolution yesterday, ceding authority to the executive. Traders price an end to military action by April 17 as near-certain based on de-escalation signals, though ceasefire expiration on April 22 or Iranian retaliation could prompt resumption, disrupting global shipping and energy routes.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendiİran'a karşı askeri eylem... ile sona eriyor mu?
İran'a karşı askeri eylem... ile sona eriyor mu?
$30,083,424 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
17 Nisan
100%
$30,083,424 Hac.
17 Nisan
$27,059,373 Hac.
100%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli airstrikes against Iran, part of Operation Enduring Fury, halted on April 7 per Pentagon announcement, following a fragile ceasefire amid collapsed peace talks and a US naval blockade enforcing control over the Strait of Hormuz. President Trump stated the conflict is "close to over," with CENTCOM confirming Iran's missile, naval, and air defense capabilities significantly degraded after five weeks of operations, and no new strikes reported since the pause. Senate Republicans rejected a war powers resolution yesterday, ceding authority to the executive. Traders price an end to military action by April 17 as near-certain based on de-escalation signals, though ceasefire expiration on April 22 or Iranian retaliation could prompt resumption, disrupting global shipping and energy routes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 27, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Hacim
$30,083,424Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 27, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Sonuç önerildi: Evet
İtiraz edildi
Sonuç önerildi: Evet
İtiraz edildi
Son inceleme
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli airstrikes against Iran, part of Operation Enduring Fury, halted on April 7 per Pentagon announcement, following a fragile ceasefire amid collapsed peace talks and a US naval blockade enforcing control over the Strait of Hormuz. President Trump stated the conflict is "close to over," with CENTCOM confirming Iran's missile, naval, and air defense capabilities significantly degraded after five weeks of operations, and no new strikes reported since the pause. Senate Republicans rejected a war powers resolution yesterday, ceding authority to the executive. Traders price an end to military action by April 17 as near-certain based on de-escalation signals, though ceasefire expiration on April 22 or Iranian retaliation could prompt resumption, disrupting global shipping and energy routes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Hacim
$30,083,424Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 27, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Sonuç önerildi: Evet
İtiraz edildi
Sonuç önerildi: Evet
İtiraz edildi
Son inceleme
US and Israeli airstrikes against Iran, part of Operation Enduring Fury, halted on April 7 per Pentagon announcement, following a fragile ceasefire amid collapsed peace talks and a US naval blockade enforcing control over the Strait of Hormuz. President Trump stated the conflict is "close to over," with CENTCOM confirming Iran's missile, naval, and air defense capabilities significantly degraded after five weeks of operations, and no new strikes reported since the pause. Senate Republicans rejected a war powers resolution yesterday, ceding authority to the executive. Traders price an end to military action by April 17 as near-certain based on de-escalation signals, though ceasefire expiration on April 22 or Iranian retaliation could prompt resumption, disrupting global shipping and energy routes.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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