The National Hurricane Center's latest Tropical Weather Outlook, as of April 16, 2026, reports no tropical cyclones or significant disturbances across the Atlantic basin, with routine issuance paused until May 15 or as conditions warrant, underscoring quiescent pre-season conditions. High vertical wind shear persists over the main development region, combined with below-optimal sea surface temperatures in key areas, stifling early formation despite some localized warming. Colorado State University's April 9 forecast anticipates a below-normal season amid a weak La Niña transitioning toward El Niño, further elevating shear risks. Historically, Atlantic named storms before June 1 are rare, with the first typically around June 20; these factors drive the market-implied 64% probability for "No," though new tropical waves could shift odds ahead of daily NHC updates.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiKasırga mevsiminden önce adlandırılmış fırtına formları?
Kasırga mevsiminden önce adlandırılmış fırtına formları?
Evet
$332,035 Hac.
$332,035 Hac.
31 May 2026
Evet
$332,035 Hac.
$332,035 Hac.
31 May 2026
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.The National Hurricane Center's latest Tropical Weather Outlook, as of April 16, 2026, reports no tropical cyclones or significant disturbances across the Atlantic basin, with routine issuance paused until May 15 or as conditions warrant, underscoring quiescent pre-season conditions. High vertical wind shear persists over the main development region, combined with below-optimal sea surface temperatures in key areas, stifling early formation despite some localized warming. Colorado State University's April 9 forecast anticipates a below-normal season amid a weak La Niña transitioning toward El Niño, further elevating shear risks. Historically, Atlantic named storms before June 1 are rare, with the first typically around June 20; these factors drive the market-implied 64% probability for "No," though new tropical waves could shift odds ahead of daily NHC updates.
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 4, 2025, 3:12 PM ET
Hacim
$332,035Bitiş Tarihi
31 May 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 4, 2025, 3:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.The National Hurricane Center's latest Tropical Weather Outlook, as of April 16, 2026, reports no tropical cyclones or significant disturbances across the Atlantic basin, with routine issuance paused until May 15 or as conditions warrant, underscoring quiescent pre-season conditions. High vertical wind shear persists over the main development region, combined with below-optimal sea surface temperatures in key areas, stifling early formation despite some localized warming. Colorado State University's April 9 forecast anticipates a below-normal season amid a weak La Niña transitioning toward El Niño, further elevating shear risks. Historically, Atlantic named storms before June 1 are rare, with the first typically around June 20; these factors drive the market-implied 64% probability for "No," though new tropical waves could shift odds ahead of daily NHC updates.
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
Hacim
$332,035Bitiş Tarihi
31 May 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 4, 2025, 3:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The National Hurricane Center's latest Tropical Weather Outlook, as of April 16, 2026, reports no tropical cyclones or significant disturbances across the Atlantic basin, with routine issuance paused until May 15 or as conditions warrant, underscoring quiescent pre-season conditions. High vertical wind shear persists over the main development region, combined with below-optimal sea surface temperatures in key areas, stifling early formation despite some localized warming. Colorado State University's April 9 forecast anticipates a below-normal season amid a weak La Niña transitioning toward El Niño, further elevating shear risks. Historically, Atlantic named storms before June 1 are rare, with the first typically around June 20; these factors drive the market-implied 64% probability for "No," though new tropical waves could shift odds ahead of daily NHC updates.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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