President Trump's recent statements declaring the US-Iran conflict "very close to over" and signaling imminent resumption of direct talks in Pakistan have boosted trader consensus toward a nuclear deal by June 30, with Yes shares at 58.5%. Pakistani mediation efforts yielded positive signals from technical experts discussing a US-proposed 20-year moratorium on Iran's uranium enrichment—against Tehran's preference for five years—alongside sanctions relief and Strait of Hormuz access, following weekend negotiations that ended without agreement but preserved a fragile ceasefire expiring April 21. Despite sticking points, momentum from these diplomacy signals and White House optimism outweighs escalation risks, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in pricing a competitive path to resolution amid historical patterns of post-conflict nuclear pacts.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiEvet
$1,156,155 Hac.
$1,156,155 Hac.
30 Haz 2026
Evet
$1,156,155 Hac.
$1,156,155 Hac.
30 Haz 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.President Trump's recent statements declaring the US-Iran conflict "very close to over" and signaling imminent resumption of direct talks in Pakistan have boosted trader consensus toward a nuclear deal by June 30, with Yes shares at 58.5%. Pakistani mediation efforts yielded positive signals from technical experts discussing a US-proposed 20-year moratorium on Iran's uranium enrichment—against Tehran's preference for five years—alongside sanctions relief and Strait of Hormuz access, following weekend negotiations that ended without agreement but preserved a fragile ceasefire expiring April 21. Despite sticking points, momentum from these diplomacy signals and White House optimism outweighs escalation risks, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in pricing a competitive path to resolution amid historical patterns of post-conflict nuclear pacts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ET
Hacim
$1,156,155Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.President Trump's recent statements declaring the US-Iran conflict "very close to over" and signaling imminent resumption of direct talks in Pakistan have boosted trader consensus toward a nuclear deal by June 30, with Yes shares at 58.5%. Pakistani mediation efforts yielded positive signals from technical experts discussing a US-proposed 20-year moratorium on Iran's uranium enrichment—against Tehran's preference for five years—alongside sanctions relief and Strait of Hormuz access, following weekend negotiations that ended without agreement but preserved a fragile ceasefire expiring April 21. Despite sticking points, momentum from these diplomacy signals and White House optimism outweighs escalation risks, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in pricing a competitive path to resolution amid historical patterns of post-conflict nuclear pacts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Hacim
$1,156,155Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's recent statements declaring the US-Iran conflict "very close to over" and signaling imminent resumption of direct talks in Pakistan have boosted trader consensus toward a nuclear deal by June 30, with Yes shares at 58.5%. Pakistani mediation efforts yielded positive signals from technical experts discussing a US-proposed 20-year moratorium on Iran's uranium enrichment—against Tehran's preference for five years—alongside sanctions relief and Strait of Hormuz access, following weekend negotiations that ended without agreement but preserved a fragile ceasefire expiring April 21. Despite sticking points, momentum from these diplomacy signals and White House optimism outweighs escalation risks, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in pricing a competitive path to resolution amid historical patterns of post-conflict nuclear pacts.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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