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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 18?

icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 18?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 18?

28°C 100.0%

21°C or below <1%

22°C <1%

23°C <1%

Polymarket

$272,020 Обс.

28°C 100.0%

21°C or below <1%

22°C <1%

23°C <1%

Polymarket

$272,020 Обс.

21°C or below

$3,992 Обс.

No

22°C

$4,027 Обс.

No

23°C

$9,312 Обс.

No

24°C

$6,483 Обс.

No

25°C

$8,918 Обс.

No

26°C

$27,548 Обс.

No

27°C

$69,514 Обс.

No

28°C

$55,745 Обс.

Yes

29°C

$32,475 Обс.

No

30°C

$35,940 Обс.

No

31°C or higher

$18,065 Обс.

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm a highest temperature of 28°C across monitoring stations on April 18, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the definitive market resolution criterion. This aligns with subtropical climatological norms for mid-April, where maximums typically range 25–29°C amid normal to above-normal seasonal temperatures per HKO's April–June 2026 forecast, influenced by continental air flows and minimal cloud cover that day. Verified surface measurements from the Observatory and regional sites provide unassailable evidence, with data releases in the past 48 hours solidifying positioning. Realistic challenges are negligible—only a formal data audit uncovering overlooked station peaks could shift it, an exceedingly rare occurrence.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$272,020
Дата завершення
Apr 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm a highest temperature of 28°C across monitoring stations on April 18, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the definitive market resolution criterion. This aligns with subtropical climatological norms for mid-April, where maximums typically range 25–29°C amid normal to above-normal seasonal temperatures per HKO's April–June 2026 forecast, influenced by continental air flows and minimal cloud cover that day. Verified surface measurements from the Observatory and regional sites provide unassailable evidence, with data releases in the past 48 hours solidifying positioning. Realistic challenges are negligible—only a formal data audit uncovering overlooked station peaks could shift it, an exceedingly rare occurrence.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$272,020
Дата завершення
Apr 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 18?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «28°C» з 100%, далі «21°C or below» з 0%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 18?» згенерував $272K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Apr 16, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 18?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 18?» — «28°C» з 100%. Наступний — «21°C or below» з 0%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 18?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.