**Trader consensus on a 28°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 24 rests on post-event confirmation from Hong Kong Observatory observations.** Overnight temperatures held steady near 28°C under cloudy skies with light rain and showers, limiting radiative cooling and diurnal temperature range in the subtropical maritime climate. Multiple independent records, including hourly data showing no dip below this threshold amid 70–95% relative humidity and southwesterly flow, align precisely with the market-implied outcome. Realistic challenges would require revised official HKO station data revealing a brief localized drop or measurement discrepancies across sites, though current verified readings and climatological norms for late August make such revisions improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$39,604 Обс.
$39,604 Обс.
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$39,604 Обс.
$39,604 Обс.
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$130 Обс.
No
22°C
$120 Обс.
No
23°C
$210 Обс.
No
24°C
$1,561 Обс.
No
25°C
$2,132 Обс.
No
26°C
$5,645 Обс.
No
27°C
$5,177 Обс.
No
28°C
$14,389 Обс.
Yes
29°C
$9,196 Обс.
No
30°C
$915 Обс.
No
31°C or higher
$130 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on a 28°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 24 rests on post-event confirmation from Hong Kong Observatory observations.** Overnight temperatures held steady near 28°C under cloudy skies with light rain and showers, limiting radiative cooling and diurnal temperature range in the subtropical maritime climate. Multiple independent records, including hourly data showing no dip below this threshold amid 70–95% relative humidity and southwesterly flow, align precisely with the market-implied outcome. Realistic challenges would require revised official HKO station data revealing a brief localized drop or measurement discrepancies across sites, though current verified readings and climatological norms for late August make such revisions improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$39,604Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on a 28°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 24 rests on post-event confirmation from Hong Kong Observatory observations.** Overnight temperatures held steady near 28°C under cloudy skies with light rain and showers, limiting radiative cooling and diurnal temperature range in the subtropical maritime climate. Multiple independent records, including hourly data showing no dip below this threshold amid 70–95% relative humidity and southwesterly flow, align precisely with the market-implied outcome. Realistic challenges would require revised official HKO station data revealing a brief localized drop or measurement discrepancies across sites, though current verified readings and climatological norms for late August make such revisions improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$39,604Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**Trader consensus on a 28°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 24 rests on post-event confirmation from Hong Kong Observatory observations.** Overnight temperatures held steady near 28°C under cloudy skies with light rain and showers, limiting radiative cooling and diurnal temperature range in the subtropical maritime climate. Multiple independent records, including hourly data showing no dip below this threshold amid 70–95% relative humidity and southwesterly flow, align precisely with the market-implied outcome. Realistic challenges would require revised official HKO station data revealing a brief localized drop or measurement discrepancies across sites, though current verified readings and climatological norms for late August make such revisions improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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