São Paulo's official meteorological observations for August 22, 2026, recorded a minimum temperature of 14°C or higher, aligning with the near-certain market-implied probability. This outcome reflects persistent subtropical high-pressure influence and above-average seasonal warmth that suppressed nocturnal cooling, consistent with regional model guidance from INMET and surrounding stations showing limited cold-air advection. Historical August climatology for the city centers on lows near 12–13°C, yet 2026 conditions deviated warmer due to delayed frontal passages. Resolution hinges on verified station data rather than forecasts, leaving little room for revision unless post-event quality-control adjustments emerge.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 22?
14°C or higher 99.5%
10°C 1.0%
11°C 1.0%
12°C 1.0%
$1,398 Обс.
$1,398 Обс.
Aug 22, 2026
4°C or below
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C or higher
Yes
14°C or higher 99.5%
10°C 1.0%
11°C 1.0%
12°C 1.0%
$1,398 Обс.
$1,398 Обс.
Aug 22, 2026
4°C or below
$137 Обс.
No
5°C
$127 Обс.
No
6°C
$132 Обс.
No
7°C
$147 Обс.
No
8°C
$85 Обс.
No
9°C
$187 Обс.
No
10°C
$26 Обс.
No
11°C
$63 Обс.
No
12°C
$350 Обс.
No
13°C
$110 Обс.
No
14°C or higher
$34 Обс.
Yes
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.São Paulo's official meteorological observations for August 22, 2026, recorded a minimum temperature of 14°C or higher, aligning with the near-certain market-implied probability. This outcome reflects persistent subtropical high-pressure influence and above-average seasonal warmth that suppressed nocturnal cooling, consistent with regional model guidance from INMET and surrounding stations showing limited cold-air advection. Historical August climatology for the city centers on lows near 12–13°C, yet 2026 conditions deviated warmer due to delayed frontal passages. Resolution hinges on verified station data rather than forecasts, leaving little room for revision unless post-event quality-control adjustments emerge.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,398Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 8:28 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.São Paulo's official meteorological observations for August 22, 2026, recorded a minimum temperature of 14°C or higher, aligning with the near-certain market-implied probability. This outcome reflects persistent subtropical high-pressure influence and above-average seasonal warmth that suppressed nocturnal cooling, consistent with regional model guidance from INMET and surrounding stations showing limited cold-air advection. Historical August climatology for the city centers on lows near 12–13°C, yet 2026 conditions deviated warmer due to delayed frontal passages. Resolution hinges on verified station data rather than forecasts, leaving little room for revision unless post-event quality-control adjustments emerge.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,398Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 8:28 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
São Paulo's official meteorological observations for August 22, 2026, recorded a minimum temperature of 14°C or higher, aligning with the near-certain market-implied probability. This outcome reflects persistent subtropical high-pressure influence and above-average seasonal warmth that suppressed nocturnal cooling, consistent with regional model guidance from INMET and surrounding stations showing limited cold-air advection. Historical August climatology for the city centers on lows near 12–13°C, yet 2026 conditions deviated warmer due to delayed frontal passages. Resolution hinges on verified station data rather than forecasts, leaving little room for revision unless post-event quality-control adjustments emerge.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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