Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton holds a trader consensus lead over incumbent Senator John Cornyn at 59.5% implied probability in the Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff set for May 26, reflecting recent polls showing Paxton ahead by 8-16 points among GOP primary voters. The March 3 primary forced this head-to-head after neither secured a majority, with Paxton consolidating support from Trump-aligned conservatives critical of Cornyn's establishment ties and bipartisan deals, while Cornyn leverages superior fundraising despite lower favorability ratings. Absent a Trump endorsement, Paxton's momentum from base enthusiasm and attack ads drives the shift, though incumbency advantages and turnout dynamics could narrow the gap before early voting begins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоПереможець праймеріз Сенату Республіканської партії Теха
Переможець праймеріз Сенату Республіканської партії Теха
Кен Пакстон 60%
Джон Корнін 40%
Дон Бакінгем <1%
Веслі Гант <1%
$15,555,801 Обс.
$15,555,801 Обс.

Кен Пакстон
60%

Джон Корнін
40%

Дон Бакінгем
<1%

Веслі Гант
<1%

Бет Ван Дайн
<1%
Кен Пакстон 60%
Джон Корнін 40%
Дон Бакінгем <1%
Веслі Гант <1%
$15,555,801 Обс.
$15,555,801 Обс.

Кен Пакстон
60%

Джон Корнін
40%

Дон Бакінгем
<1%

Веслі Гант
<1%

Бет Ван Дайн
<1%
If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 10, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton holds a trader consensus lead over incumbent Senator John Cornyn at 59.5% implied probability in the Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff set for May 26, reflecting recent polls showing Paxton ahead by 8-16 points among GOP primary voters. The March 3 primary forced this head-to-head after neither secured a majority, with Paxton consolidating support from Trump-aligned conservatives critical of Cornyn's establishment ties and bipartisan deals, while Cornyn leverages superior fundraising despite lower favorability ratings. Absent a Trump endorsement, Paxton's momentum from base enthusiasm and attack ads drives the shift, though incumbency advantages and turnout dynamics could narrow the gap before early voting begins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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