Hawaii's 1st congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, reflected in the dominant trader consensus for a Democratic general election victory. Incumbent Ed Case secured renomination in the recent August primary by a comfortable margin over state Sen. Jarrett Keohokalole, preserving his position ahead of the November contest against Republican nominee Adriel Lam. The district's partisan voting index and Case's prior 71.8% general election performance underscore consistent voter preferences in this urban Honolulu area. Historical patterns show no Republican general election wins since 1988, with all major forecasters rating the race Solid or Safe Democratic. A shift would require an unusually strong Republican performance or unforeseen late developments such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, neither of which has materialized in recent months.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHI-01 House Election Winner
HI-01 House Election Winner
$28,336 KL.
$28,336 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$28,336 KL.
$28,336 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,677 KL.
95%
Republican Party
$13,658 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hawaii's 1st congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, reflected in the dominant trader consensus for a Democratic general election victory. Incumbent Ed Case secured renomination in the recent August primary by a comfortable margin over state Sen. Jarrett Keohokalole, preserving his position ahead of the November contest against Republican nominee Adriel Lam. The district's partisan voting index and Case's prior 71.8% general election performance underscore consistent voter preferences in this urban Honolulu area. Historical patterns show no Republican general election wins since 1988, with all major forecasters rating the race Solid or Safe Democratic. A shift would require an unusually strong Republican performance or unforeseen late developments such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, neither of which has materialized in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Khối lượng
$28,336Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hawaii's 1st congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, reflected in the dominant trader consensus for a Democratic general election victory. Incumbent Ed Case secured renomination in the recent August primary by a comfortable margin over state Sen. Jarrett Keohokalole, preserving his position ahead of the November contest against Republican nominee Adriel Lam. The district's partisan voting index and Case's prior 71.8% general election performance underscore consistent voter preferences in this urban Honolulu area. Historical patterns show no Republican general election wins since 1988, with all major forecasters rating the race Solid or Safe Democratic. A shift would require an unusually strong Republican performance or unforeseen late developments such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, neither of which has materialized in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$28,336Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Hawaii's 1st congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, reflected in the dominant trader consensus for a Democratic general election victory. Incumbent Ed Case secured renomination in the recent August primary by a comfortable margin over state Sen. Jarrett Keohokalole, preserving his position ahead of the November contest against Republican nominee Adriel Lam. The district's partisan voting index and Case's prior 71.8% general election performance underscore consistent voter preferences in this urban Honolulu area. Historical patterns show no Republican general election wins since 1988, with all major forecasters rating the race Solid or Safe Democratic. A shift would require an unusually strong Republican performance or unforeseen late developments such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, neither of which has materialized in recent months.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp