Recent numerical weather prediction runs from global models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate maximum temperatures in Tel Aviv on 19 August 2026 will likely reach 31–32 °C under continued high-pressure subsidence and clear skies typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and modest mid-level moisture are expected to cap daytime heating near these values, consistent with August climatology of 30–32 °C. Short-range guidance issued in the past 48 hours shows little spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 32 °C (63.5 %) and 31 °C (31.5 %). Resolution hinges on the official Israel Meteorological Service daily maximum; any late-model shift in boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover could still alter the final reading within the narrow uncertainty range of current forecasts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 19?
32°C 64%
31°C 32%
33°C 5%
30°C 2.3%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
32%
32°C
64%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 64%
31°C 32%
33°C 5%
30°C 2.3%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
32%
32°C
64%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction runs from global models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate maximum temperatures in Tel Aviv on 19 August 2026 will likely reach 31–32 °C under continued high-pressure subsidence and clear skies typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and modest mid-level moisture are expected to cap daytime heating near these values, consistent with August climatology of 30–32 °C. Short-range guidance issued in the past 48 hours shows little spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 32 °C (63.5 %) and 31 °C (31.5 %). Resolution hinges on the official Israel Meteorological Service daily maximum; any late-model shift in boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover could still alter the final reading within the narrow uncertainty range of current forecasts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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