Democratic incumbent Gabe Vasquez holds a strong position in New Mexico’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. He secured the Democratic nomination following the June 2 primaries, while Republican Greg Cunningham emerged as the GOP nominee after a low-turnout contest. The district remains competitive, as shown by an April 2026 poll placing Vasquez narrowly ahead of Cunningham, and it split its presidential and House votes in 2024. Trader consensus at 88.5% for Democrats reflects Vasquez’s incumbency advantage, established name recognition, and typical midterm dynamics in a seat rated Lean or Tilt Democratic by forecasters, with limited recent events altering the outlook ahead of the general election campaign.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNM-02 House Election Winner
NM-02 House Election Winner
$31,927 KL.
$31,927 KL.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
89%
Republican Party
12%
$31,927 KL.
$31,927 KL.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$13,154 KL.
89%
Republican Party
$18,773 KL.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Gabe Vasquez holds a strong position in New Mexico’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. He secured the Democratic nomination following the June 2 primaries, while Republican Greg Cunningham emerged as the GOP nominee after a low-turnout contest. The district remains competitive, as shown by an April 2026 poll placing Vasquez narrowly ahead of Cunningham, and it split its presidential and House votes in 2024. Trader consensus at 88.5% for Democrats reflects Vasquez’s incumbency advantage, established name recognition, and typical midterm dynamics in a seat rated Lean or Tilt Democratic by forecasters, with limited recent events altering the outlook ahead of the general election campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Khối lượng
$31,927Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Gabe Vasquez holds a strong position in New Mexico’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. He secured the Democratic nomination following the June 2 primaries, while Republican Greg Cunningham emerged as the GOP nominee after a low-turnout contest. The district remains competitive, as shown by an April 2026 poll placing Vasquez narrowly ahead of Cunningham, and it split its presidential and House votes in 2024. Trader consensus at 88.5% for Democrats reflects Vasquez’s incumbency advantage, established name recognition, and typical midterm dynamics in a seat rated Lean or Tilt Democratic by forecasters, with limited recent events altering the outlook ahead of the general election campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$31,927Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Gabe Vasquez holds a strong position in New Mexico’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. He secured the Democratic nomination following the June 2 primaries, while Republican Greg Cunningham emerged as the GOP nominee after a low-turnout contest. The district remains competitive, as shown by an April 2026 poll placing Vasquez narrowly ahead of Cunningham, and it split its presidential and House votes in 2024. Trader consensus at 88.5% for Democrats reflects Vasquez’s incumbency advantage, established name recognition, and typical midterm dynamics in a seat rated Lean or Tilt Democratic by forecasters, with limited recent events altering the outlook ahead of the general election campaign.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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