Incumbent Democrat Melanie Stansbury seeks a fourth full term in New Mexico’s 1st congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+7 and encompasses much of Albuquerque plus surrounding central counties. She defeated her Republican opponent by roughly 13 points in 2024 and advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Democratic primary, while pharmacist Ndidiamaka Okpareke secured the Republican nomination without opposition. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean, Stansbury’s incumbency and fundraising edge, and the absence of recent polling showing a competitive contest. A late national Republican surge, significant scandal, or unusually high GOP turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors continue to underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNM-01 House Election Winner
NM-01 House Election Winner
$35,867 KL.
$35,867 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$35,867 KL.
$35,867 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$18,452 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$17,415 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Melanie Stansbury seeks a fourth full term in New Mexico’s 1st congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+7 and encompasses much of Albuquerque plus surrounding central counties. She defeated her Republican opponent by roughly 13 points in 2024 and advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Democratic primary, while pharmacist Ndidiamaka Okpareke secured the Republican nomination without opposition. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean, Stansbury’s incumbency and fundraising edge, and the absence of recent polling showing a competitive contest. A late national Republican surge, significant scandal, or unusually high GOP turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors continue to underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$35,867Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Melanie Stansbury seeks a fourth full term in New Mexico’s 1st congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+7 and encompasses much of Albuquerque plus surrounding central counties. She defeated her Republican opponent by roughly 13 points in 2024 and advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Democratic primary, while pharmacist Ndidiamaka Okpareke secured the Republican nomination without opposition. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean, Stansbury’s incumbency and fundraising edge, and the absence of recent polling showing a competitive contest. A late national Republican surge, significant scandal, or unusually high GOP turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors continue to underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$35,867Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Melanie Stansbury seeks a fourth full term in New Mexico’s 1st congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+7 and encompasses much of Albuquerque plus surrounding central counties. She defeated her Republican opponent by roughly 13 points in 2024 and advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Democratic primary, while pharmacist Ndidiamaka Okpareke secured the Republican nomination without opposition. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean, Stansbury’s incumbency and fundraising edge, and the absence of recent polling showing a competitive contest. A late national Republican surge, significant scandal, or unusually high GOP turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors continue to underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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